Severe weather to remain south of the metro tonight

Just a quick post as some people may be taking note of severe weather (including the risk of tornadoes) to our southwest over eastern TX and LA this afternoon.  The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch for much of Louisiana, extreme western Mississippi, and extreme southern Arkansas as a squall line moves into the region from east Texas.  The ironic part of this is that the American Meteorological Society is having it’s annual meeting in New Orleans this week.  Hope all those weather nerds know the squall line is a-comin’! (I can say that because I am one…)

While we are expecting rain overnight into tomorrow, and some thunder will likely occur in the metro late tonight and early Thursday, we do NOT expect any severe weather in the immediate area.  The area highlighted by the Storm Prediction Center for possible severe weather is shown below by the Slight Risk (yellow) highlight. While Memphis is in the green (general thunderstorm outlook) area, the severe threat is minimal.

Slight risk of severe storms tonight over the Lower MS River Valley

As for what we do expect to receive, look for rain to begin again tonight by late evening and continue overnight and through at least Thursday morning, likely into early afternoon. Low pressure will move across Mississippi with a warm front extending roughly along I-40 by morning.  Near and south of the front, some thunder is likely.  This will make for another wet rush hour tomorrow morning, so plan ahead!  Rainfall totals for the next 24 hours will likely be more than an inch.  Check the MWN Forecast for further details, including your seven-day outlook!

By the way, this is blog post #900 for MWN. Thanks to all of our readers!

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