Above average temps are almost gone, make way for fall weather!

It’s crazy to think that it is almost mid-October and yet we are still setting records. Just yesterday we tied the record for the most consecutive October days at 89+ degrees. Luckily, for those ready for #sweaterweather, fall looks to be on the horizon. A cold front will push through the area late tomorrow, ushering in much cooler temperatures. Additionally, these cooler temperatures look to be hanging around for a while, so get ready for some more fall-like weather folks.

We have had a few questions about Hurricane Michael currently in the Gulf of Mexico. While this system posses no threat to the Memphis area, this is a very powerful storm that is expected to make landfall along the Florida coastline tomorrow. If you are in the area vacationing for fall break, or have friends/family there, be sure to heed all evacuations and listen to local officials about your specific location.

For more information, visit the National Hurricane Center’s website at www.nhc.noaa.gov/ 
The cold front moving through our area tomorrow will actually help to quickly steer this storm to the East and away from the U.S. 

Tonight

Clouds will continue to increase this evening as our aforementioned cold front pushes this way. We could see a shower or two this evening, but the majority should hold off until early tomorrow morning into the daytime tomorrow. 
HRRR model shows a line of showers and thunderstorms slowly drifting eastward overnight and becoming more scattered tomorrow as they move across our area. (WeatherBell)
This blanket of clouds overhead tonight will help to keep temps pretty warm with lows only reaching the mid 70s. 

Tomorrow

Our much anticipated cold front arrives tomorrow, but first we must get through one more day of highs in the 80s. 
Overall, tomorrow’s cold front will be a little different than the cold fronts we usually see this time of year. We are not expecting a washout and no organized severe weather is expected. Really, many of us may be a tiny bit disappointed in the rainfall we see. Showers and an isolated thunderstorm will be possible throughout the day, but should remain fairly scattered especially into the afternoon hours.
WPC graphic shows the cold front being through our area by tomorrow evening. Rain chances will decrease as the front pushes farther eastward. (NOAA/WPC)
The majority of any scattered showers that do develop should begin to move out by tomorrow evening. Skies will gradually begin to clear tomorrow evening along with cooler temps moving into the area. Lows are expected to dip into the 50s tomorrow night.  

Thursday & Friday

Highs in the upper 60s to near 70. Lows near 50 (and maybe even in the upper 40s in some parts). Oh, and no rain chances. Any way you slice it or dice it, fall looks arrive with a bang on Thursday and stay around for a while. I know a lot of people have been waiting on it, so get your fall activities ready!

This weekend into next week

Say hello to more fall this weekend! Temps will coast in the 70s through the weekend, however, yet another cold front looks to pass through early next week, dipping our high temperatures down even further into the 60s. That’s right, highs in the 60s with overnight lows maybe even dipping into the upper 40s. 
Besides some rain chances Sunday and Monday, things look to dry out behind this second cold front into next week. 
Climate Prediction Center (CPC) keeps the Mid-South temps below average through the majority of next week. (Pivotal Weather)
CPC keeps our area right along the slightly above to above average category for precipitation through next week. (Pivotal Weather)
I hope you all enjoy the cooler weather that’s on the horizon; I am certainly ready for it!

Caroline MacDonald
MWN Meteorologist Intern

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