Summer (humidity and rain chances) returns after a beautiful week

Wow this weather has been absolutely amazing! Below average temps around Memphis this week, all in thanks to a large trough situated over the eastern part of the U.S. Last night winds shifted however, and now it’s time for us all to unfortunately return back to June. That means humidity, rain, and a couple of thunderstorms now in the picture for this weekend and next week. 

Today

Pleasant and dry conditions are still sticking around for the mid-south to finish off our week, with partly sunny skies and highs resting in the lower-to-mid 80’s. The winds have shifted now, bringing us southerly breezes at around 10 mph. More clouds building up overnight, which will hold our overnight lows up in the upper 60’s. 

The NAM Model showing temperatures across the US. You can see the winds shift when the cold air moves out to the NE. This invites back in warmer air to the metro. (Pivotal Weather)

Saturday

The heat and mugginess returns again, and I am not ready for that. Still going to have some peaks of blue shining through, with partly sunny skies. Very breezy southerly winds at 15-20 mph, with some gusts reaching up to 25 mph. Expect an increase in humidity, as Gulf moisture is pumped north towards the mid-south. Saturday night more clouds build up into the morning, with lows dropping down into the mid-70’s. 


Sunday (Father’s Day)

Sunday is Father’s Day, and I wish we had a better grilling out forecast. An unsettled pattern will begin Sunday, and last later on into the work week as well. This brings rain chances for the day up to 40%. Partly sunny skies in the morning, with a chance of PM thunderstorms. As for outdoor activities, it seems the best time to get outside would be in the morning. Despite the rain chances and a breezy southwest wind, still expecting temperatures to near 90. Overnight temps are going to cool off into the lower 70’s. 
GFS Model showing rain chances later in the evening on Sunday. (WxBell)


Next Week

Showers and thunderstorms all of next week? Can we just skip it? With a cold front expected to move into the Ohio River Valley, and stalling out to our north, this is causing more precipitation to move further south. While we don’t expect wash-outs every day, rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be possible every day. It’s a little too early to know about any severe weather for next week, but we can’t rule out a few strong storms here and there. The anticipated cloud cover and moisture in the air will keep us a bit cooler with highs for most days just a few degrees cooler than normal, mainly in the mid-80’s. Thursday and Friday are also looking to have mostly scattered showers. Friday near normal temperatures return with highs in the upper 80’s.
The GFS Model showing scattered showers from Wed-Fri. (Tropical Tidbits)

Well I wish I had a better forecast for everyone after having such a great week, weather-wise. But happy early Father’s Day to all of the amazing dads out there! Wishing everyone a good week.

Jennifer Lambers
MWN Meteorologist Intern

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