Late week cold air brings a possible precip mix, then dry weather for a few days!

Another soggy start
to the week but thankfully we are in for a few drier days after tomorrow! This morning a cold front
finished moving through the area and took the cloud cover and rain with it. A short wave upper level trough will move through on Thursday bringing shower activity back through the southeast. Early on Thursday a few snowflakes are possible as the showers move through. Cold air will fill in behind it making the end of your week very chilly! However, high pressure will situate over us allowing for Friday and Saturday to be sunny once again! Clouds and rain return to start off next week as low pressure system lifts through the southeast Sunday through Monday. Thankfully this system will be short lived allowing Monday afternoon through Wednesday morning to be dry and mild!

Did someone say Flurries?

Wednesday and Thursday

We are in for a mostly sunny day but clouds will begin building back late this evening and overnight. Afternoon highs will be seasonal in the lower 50s. Rain chances are minimal for the rest of your Wednesday but overnight, lows fall into the mid to upper 30s and light scattered showers move back into the area. Most of the precipitation will occur Thursday morning. A few snowflakes may be mixed in with rain. The HRRR model is much more conservative suggesting flurries will be extremely minimal. The NAM suggests that a short-lived switch over to snow is possible. While these models are disagreeing on how many snowflakes will fall, we know there will be no major impacts expected! Throughout Thursday all precipitation will move out of the area allowing for some afternoon clearing and possibly some sunshine! Afternoon highs will be chilly in the mid 40s. Overnights clouds will clear leaving Thursday night clear and very cold! Overnight lows will be in the mid 20s but wind chills will be in the lower teens! Remember to bring in any outdoor pets or plants!

The 6am run of  HRRR model showing forecast radar at 7am. This highlights a very small change over to snow/sleet across northern Mississippi and Southern Tennessee. (Pivotal Weather)

The 6am run of  NAM model showing forecast radar at 9am. This highlights a possible change over from rain to snow/sleet across northern Mississippi and Southern Tennessee. (Pivotal Weather)

Friday and Saturday

Cold air sticks around for the southeast as the shortwave trough that brought Thursday’s rain moves out. Out the door temperatures Friday morning will be in the mid 20s but a northeasterly wind will keep wind chills in the teens! Make sure to bundle up as you leave Friday morning. Thankfully clouds will be move out overnight on Thursday finally giving us a sunny day! Afternoon highs will be chilly in the mid 40s, 10 degrees below average for this time of year! Overnight and into Saturday morning lows will fall into the mid 20s under mostly clear skies. Those pets and plants need to be brought in once again. The sun sticks around for most of Saturday but high clouds will begin moving into the area into the afternoon. Afternoon highs will be slightly warming in the lower 50s leaving Saturday absolutely gorgeous! Make sure to get out and enjoy the sunshine as cloud begin to build back overnight Saturday with a low chance of rain. 

Sunday and Monday 

Sunday morning temperatures will be a bit more mild at 40 degrees. Throughout the early morning hours, clouds and rain will move back into the area as a low pressure system moves through the southeast. Rain will be likely for most of the day on Sunday with afternoon highs reaching into the lower 50s. Overnight showers will become more scattered with lows mid 40s. Rain will continue into Monday morning but quickly move out throughout the day leaving the afternoon mostly dry! Clouds will begin to clear giving us a potential for a few peaks of sunshine allowing for highs to warm near 50. 
The GFS model showing a low pressure system moving across the eastern portions of the US. This will create showers throughout the day on Sunday and into Monday morning. This image is valid at 6am Monday. This low pressure system will lift out leaving Monday afternoon mostly dry! (Pivotal Weather)

Tuesday and Wednesday 

Tuesday starts off mild with overnight temperatures in the mid 40s. Skies will continue to clear throughout the day on Tuesday until afternoon skies are partly cloudy and highs are near 60! Overnight mild conditions continue with lows in the lower 40s. Wednesday will be partly sunny with highs in the mid 50s and a chance of showers. The long-range models do have different opinions in the mid to late week period (next week) with another cold blast moving into the eastern U.S. How far south that cold air drops is uncertain, making us all ask, where are you Spring?? (Exactly one more month!) 

The first day of Spring is March 19th!

Allison Paige

MWN Meteorologist Intern

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