…A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BRING TORRENTIAL RAINS TO PARTS OF THE MID-SOUTH LATE THIS WEEK…
.LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND BEGIN TO TRACK NORTHEAST INTO MINNESOTA BY THURSDAY NIGHT. A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST INTO THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR THURSDAY NIGHT AND STALL. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH SATURDAY.
RICH MOISTURE STREAMING NORTH FROM THE GULF WILL INTERACT WITH THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY… PRODUCING A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY MORNING. EVENTUALLY THE FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH… ENDING THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT BY LATE SATURDAY. SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN ARE LIKELY IN THE WATCH AREA… WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.
…FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING…
* A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE MID-SOUTH THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR THURSDAY NIGHT AND STALL OVER WEST TENNESSEE AND EAST ARKANSAS THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY MORNING. A RICH FEED OF MOISTURE FROM THE GULF WILL INTERACT WITH THIS FRONT TO PRODUCE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES… WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 7 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
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NWS