Category: severe weather

Possible severe weather Thursday PM

April 1, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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severe weather

The spring pattern has definitely set in and the Mid-South is once again under the gun for potential severe weather. While things didn’t pan out as expected last Friday due to a fairly complicated system that the models had a difficult time forecasting, this one brings some of the same uncertainty. Once again, the potential…
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Severe weather update – 5pm CDT

March 27, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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severe weather

10:00PM UPDATE: Storm Prediction Center has once again moved the MODERATE risk south and away from the Memphis area. We’ll just have to see how this one plays out. Any strong weather should be between 1am and 6am and would likely be in the form of hail or a damaging wind gust, with tornadoes a…
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Threat of severe weather diminishes

March 27, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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forecast, severe weather

I’ve spent a fair amount of time talking about the potential for upcoming severe weather tonight and now there seems to be a fairly good consensus coming together… which is favorable for the metro. As seen in the above graphic, the greatest threat of severe weather, including tornadoes, appears to be focused to our south.…
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Severe weather risk for Friday and Friday night

March 26, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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severe weather

There is still some disagreement among various sources, including the various computer models, on the exact threat that the Memphis area faces for late Friday. One train of thought has the low pressure system moving by to our northwest, while the other has it just to our southeast. It doesn’t seem like much, but it…
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Severe weather potential for Friday…

March 25, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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current weather, flooding, severe weather, tornado

But before I get to that, let’s touch briefly on the forecast for the next 48. Looks like we are in a pattern of dry days and rainy nights, beginning last night as a potent system brought over 2″ of rain to much of the metro area. I enjoyed sitting out on my screened patio…
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Severe weather threat diminishes; rain to continue

March 24, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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severe weather

The Storm Prediction Center has dropped the Severe Thunderstorm Watch that was in effect for eastern Arkansas and portions of Missouri. In fact, the line of thunderstorms that was moving into the Mid-South has diminished in intensity significantly and there is hardly any lightning even left at 7:30pm. Continuous rain, some potentially heavy, will continue to…
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Severe weather potential tonight and more rain in the forecast

March 24, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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forecast, severe weather

A potent cold front is moving into the region this evening, bringing with it a thunderstorm squall line which currently stretches through central AR, as evidenced by the radar image below taken at about 4:30pm. The Memphis metro area is under a SLIGHT RISK of severe weather for tonight (see outlook area at top) for…
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Possible severe weather this week and definitely wet

March 23, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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forecast, notification, severe weather

Three separate systems look to be taking aim on portions of the Mid-South this week, providing for a very unsettled pattern that will be wet at a minimum (this week’s precip potential shown above) and possibly stormy. The first of these weather trouble-makers will arrive late Tuesday in the form of a cold front that…
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Severe Weather Awareness Week (part 5) – NOAA Weather Radio

February 27, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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NOAA weather radio, severe weather

Today is the last day of Severe Weather Awareness week and the focus shifts to NOAA Weather Radio and the Emergency Alert System. …NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND THE EMERGENCY ALERT SYSTEM… WEATHER RADIO IS THE VOICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. IT PROVIDES CONTINUOUS WEATHER INFORMATION 24 HOURS A DAY… EVERY DAY OF THE YEAR.…
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Severe Weather Awareness Week (part 4) – Flooding

February 26, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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flooding, severe weather

Severe Weather Awareness Week continues with a look at the dangers of high water – flooding and flash flooding. …FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD AWARENESS DAY… FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS OCCUR EVERY YEAR IN THE MID SOUTH. RIVER FLOODING OCCURS SEASONALLY WHEN WINTER OR SPRING RAINS OR TORRENTIAL RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORMS FILL RIVER BASINS…
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Severe Weather Awareness Week (part 3) – Tornadoes

February 25, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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severe weather, tornado

Today is the third day of Severe Weather Awareness Week. Here is some information from the NWS on tornado awareness. Note that there will be a statewide tornado drill held today. …TORNADO AWARENESS DAY…YOUR SAFETY DEPENDS ON BEING CONSTANTLY ALERT TO THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT APPROACH YOU. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE…
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Severe Weather Awareness Week (part 2) – Lightning

February 24, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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severe weather

Today is the second day of Severe Weather Awareness Week. Here is some information from the NWS on the hazards of lightning. …LIGHTNING AWARENESS DAY… SEVERE WEATHER AWARENESS WEEK CONTINUES TODAY WITH A LOOK AT LIGHTNING SAFETY. HERE ARE SOME LIGHTNING SAFETY RULES. ANY LIGHTNING SAFETY PLAN SHOULD INCORPORATE THE 30/30 RULE. THE 30/30 RULE…
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Severe Weather Awareness Week (part 1) – Severe Thunderstorms

February 23, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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severe weather

No snow, but rain coming…Well, the snow didn’t materialize on Saturday as hoped. Honestly, I’m not exactly surprised. Each day last week, the situation looked a little grimmer and the rain just ended too early on Saturday afternoon for the cold air to catch up with it. It was cold… but not cold enough. This…
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4:30am update on severe weather threat

February 11, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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severe weather

At 4:30am, MWN StormView Radar and neighboring radars are showing an area of showers and embedded thunderstorms approaching the MS River with the back edge about at Little Rock. I expected more of a classic squall line about this time this morning and it hasn’t really materialized as the rain and t’storms have outrun the…
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High Wind Warning for Memphis

February 10, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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severe weather, wind

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN / MEMPHISWEATHER.NET345 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2009 …WINDY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR OVER THE MID-SOUTH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY… .STRONG…POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM LIFTING FROM TEXAS INTO THE OZARKS. LATE TONIGHT…THE STRONG WINDS WILL PREVAIL FROM THE…
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Update on severe weather threat

February 10, 2009

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Erik Proseus

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severe weather

Below are the latest severe weather maps from the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) – the nation’s experts on severe weather. The first map covers the period through 6am Wednesday. The second map is the potential for severe weather after 6am Wednesday. Right now, I’m pegging Wednesday’s AM rush hour (6-8am) for the line to move…
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