Category: tropical

Unsettled weather pattern as summer approaches

June 17, 2026

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, summer, tropical

Multiple weather features make for an unsettled forecast as we head towards the first official day of summer.
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2026 Atlantic hurricane season and possible effects on the Mid-South

May 25, 2026

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Erik Proseus

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hurricane, tropical

The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will likely be affected by a developing El Nino. What does this mean for the forecast?
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Atlantic hurricane season forecast and impacts in the Mid-South, plus our summer outlook

May 26, 2025

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Erik Proseus

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hurricane, seasonal outlook, tropical

Atlantic hurricane season is about to begin (as it meteorological summer!). We take a look at the forecast for each.
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Weather musings on a hot October day

October 6, 2024

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Erik Proseus

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remnants tropical, summer, tropical

Some thoughts on September rainfall patterns, the last of the summer heat, and an impactful hurricane season
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Second visit of tropical remnants in two weeks!

September 25, 2024

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, Fujiwhara effect, remnants tropical, tropical

A second tropical system in two weeks visits the Mid-South!
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Could Francine bring drought-busting rain (and strong wind) to the Mid-South?

September 8, 2024

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Erik Proseus

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tropical

All eyes are on the southwest Gulf of Mexico as a developing tropical system may have its sights set on the Mid-South later this week.
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Late-summer heat and dry weather this week; tropical update

August 20, 2023

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Erik Proseus

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heat, tropical

The wet and stormy pattern from late July through mid-August has evaporated as we head through the latter half of August. Several very comfortable days last week had most of us grateful for the arrival of #FalseFall. But a massive ridge of high pressure above us (a.k.a., a Heat Dome) will dominate a large portion…
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Big changes coming: Temperatures tumble, plus the tropics aren’t done

November 10, 2022

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, tropical

If you’ve found yourself wishing away the unseasonably warm temperatures we’ve had this fall, you’re going to enjoy the changes headed our way! We have a pretty active weekend ahead of us. First: The Tropics Nicole made landfall just south of Vero Beach, Florida early Thursday morning as a category one hurricane with estimated wind…
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Summer heat abates as rain chances return, the tropics come to life, and transition on #TeamMWN

August 13, 2021

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, intern, tropical

The first week of August seemed a bit surreal with below average temperatures and drier than average humidity. Mother Nature made up for that this past week as the blast furnace was cranked up, highs reached the mid 90s each day, lows barely dropped below 80, and rain-free weather continued. As we hit mid-month, we…
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Hurricane Laura strengthens; remnants to impact the Mid-South

August 25, 2020

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Erik Proseus

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hurricane, remnants tropical, tropical

Laura became a hurricane in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico this morning about 7am and has intensified only slightly since that time as it churns northwestward towards the central Gulf Coast. However, more rapid intensification is expected over the next 24 hours as it nears the coast, ultimately reaching major hurricane (category 3) status by…
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It’s still 2020! TWO hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico this week?

August 22, 2020

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Erik Proseus

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hurricane, tropical

Many of you are aware, perhaps from hype articles/videos shared by unscrupulous (or perhaps just naive) sources on social media, that the Gulf of Mexico will be visited by two tropical systems this week. Typically, I devote space on this blog to weather that has impacts to the Memphis area. Since it is appearing possible…
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Tropical Storm Cristobal takes aim at the Gulf Coast, and Mid-South

June 6, 2020

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, remnants tropical, tropical

As we just finish the end of the first official week of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season, the THIRD named storm of the year will become the SECOND U.S. landfall in what is expected to be an active season overall. Previously, Tropical Storm Arthur made a close approach to the North Carolina Outer Banks on…
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How long will the heat last, and will Cristobal affect Mid-South weather?

June 3, 2020

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, Memphis, NWS, travel conditions, travel forecast, tropical

For most of last week we had rather sunny skies, with bearable temperatures. Unfortunately, as I’m writing this blog it looks like it’ll be hot and steamy over the next week…that is until a potential tropical disturbance. From the end of this week, over the weekend, and into the beginning of next week it looks…
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Saturday update: Barry’s impacts on the Mid-South

July 13, 2019

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Erik Proseus

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flash flood, forecast discussion, tropical

Briefly a hurricane, Barry made landfall on the central Louisiana Gulf Coast this morning and is moving slowly north through Louisiana. It will remain over Louisiana through much of Sunday before heading north through central Arkansas west of Little Rock Monday as it weakens to a tropical depression. Unfortunately, that means the weather in the…
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Bring it Barry! (But take it easy on us, ok?)

July 11, 2019

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, tropical

More rain chances are returning to the Mid-South, and this time in the form of a remnant tropical cyclone. Barry is getting closer to the coast, and currently most models are in agreement that some remnants will be heading our way. This is good news for some, and bad news for others. While some areas…
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Gordon’s effects on the Mid-South

September 4, 2018

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Erik Proseus

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remnants tropical, tropical

As Tropical Storm (maybe Hurricane, depending on when you read this) Gordon heads towards the central Gulf Coast for a landfall likely to occur somewhere along the MS or AL coastline, many of you have expressed interest in how it will affect our weather. Forecast track and intensity Latest forecast track of Gordon from the…
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5 Musings as November comes to an end

November 30, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, event weather, forecast discussion, GOES, GOES-R, tropical, winter

The month of November is wrapping up and we now head into the season in which people start asking (more) about important things (like snow). It’s also the end of a couple of other seasons though. Here’s more on that, as well as a look ahead to this weekend’s beautiful weather, a major weather pattern…
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Will Nate rain on Memphis? And we’re still waiting on fall!

October 5, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, tropical

For the past 5 weeks or so, our highest rain chances have been with the remnants of tropical systems. First there was Harvey and then Irma. Now Nate is moving onto the radar. While just named as a tropical storm this morning and currently over Nicaragua, it is on a trajectory to take it into…
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Our first autumn cold front nears, plus a look at Irma’s potential track

September 4, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, forecast discussion, Irma, tropical

Have you grown tired of the off and on summertime heat across the Mid-South? Are you ready for the fall-like weather to return to the Memphis area for September? If so, then we have some great news. Mother Nature is listening to your complaints. Fall will be back for the area this week. The Trough…
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What to expect from Harvey in the Mid-South on Thursday

August 30, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, Harvey, tropical

The remnants of former Hurricane Harvey will move right over the Mid-South on Thursday and Thursday night. This 7-minute video will describe the impacts expected. Slides used are included below for those unable to view the video. Erik Proseus MWN Meteorologist —- Follow MWN on Facebook, Twitter, and Google+ Visit MemphisWeather.net on the web or…
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