Category: hurricane

2026 Atlantic hurricane season and possible effects on the Mid-South

May 25, 2026

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Erik Proseus

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hurricane, tropical

The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will likely be affected by a developing El Nino. What does this mean for the forecast?
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Atlantic hurricane season forecast and impacts in the Mid-South, plus our summer outlook

May 26, 2025

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Erik Proseus

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hurricane, seasonal outlook, tropical

Atlantic hurricane season is about to begin (as it meteorological summer!). We take a look at the forecast for each.
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Beautiful weekend, but eyes on Beryl

July 6, 2024

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, hurricane, Uncategorized

Nice July weather this weekend will lead into an unsettled, likely humid and wet, first half of next week thanks to Beryl.
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“Fall” and hurricane season end, so here’s the winter outlook!

December 1, 2021

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Erik Proseus

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hurricane, seasonal outlook, winter outlook

Meteorological Fall Comes to an End As the calendar turns to December and minds collectively turn towards the end-of-year holiday season, meteorologists see a changing of the seasons. While the official start of winter is when the winter solstice occurs (December 21), “meteorological winter” for climate record-keeping purposes starts December 1 and runs through the…
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Hurricane Ida to pummel the LA coast, then head into the Mid-South: what to expect locally

August 28, 2021

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, hurricane

All eyes are on the Gulf of Mexico, as this morning Hurricane Ida is poised to go through what meteorologists call “rapid intensification,” and what those in the path must call terrifying. Saturday morning “sandwich” RGB satellite imagery of Hurricane Ida in the central Gulf (COD) 16 years to the day after Hurricane Katrina barreled…
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One more storm chance, then hot and humid + a note on Henri

August 21, 2021

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, hurricane

Some of us have gotten some beneficial rainfall this past week! Others (I’m looking at you eastern Shelby County) have had more than your fair share, while others could definitely use some more. Such is the nature of summertime convection, even when it is more organized than a typical summer day. Radar-estimated rainfall over the…
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Cool and wet for the first week of June, and Atlantic hurricane season begins!

June 1, 2021

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, hurricane

Summer weather has held off for about as long as possible across the Mid-South. May temperatures finished off below average, coming on the heels of a cooler than average April. Overall, it was quite a nice spring across the Memphis area and for most of the Southeast! Rainfall was also a bit below normal, due…
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Rain and wind on the way for Memphis thanks to Hurricane Delta

October 9, 2020

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, hurricane

The latest of Hurricane Delta As of mid afternoon, Hurricane Delta is closing in on the Louisiana coastline and is expected to make landfall near Cameron, Louisiana early this evening. Hurricane-force winds, life-threatening storm surge and flash flooding is expected along southern Louisiana this afternoon and evening. Delta will move northeast into northeastern Louisiana overnight…
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August 2020 Climate Data for Memphis, TN

September 7, 2020

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Erik Proseus

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accuracy, climate data, hurricane

August Climate Recap After a July that featured persistent heat – in which every day featured high temperatures of at least 89 degrees and lows were in the 70s every day – August cooled off relative to normal. The signal emerged on the first day of the month with a high of just 79 degrees…
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Hurricane Laura strengthens; remnants to impact the Mid-South

August 25, 2020

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Erik Proseus

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hurricane, remnants tropical, tropical

Laura became a hurricane in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico this morning about 7am and has intensified only slightly since that time as it churns northwestward towards the central Gulf Coast. However, more rapid intensification is expected over the next 24 hours as it nears the coast, ultimately reaching major hurricane (category 3) status by…
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It’s still 2020! TWO hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico this week?

August 22, 2020

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Erik Proseus

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hurricane, tropical

Many of you are aware, perhaps from hype articles/videos shared by unscrupulous (or perhaps just naive) sources on social media, that the Gulf of Mexico will be visited by two tropical systems this week. Typically, I devote space on this blog to weather that has impacts to the Memphis area. Since it is appearing possible…
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Warmer temps/dry conditions return, and let’s talk Florence

September 12, 2018

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, hurricane, major hurricane

The stationary front that has been placed to our south recently has finally begun to move away allowing us to begin warming starting today and especially by Thursday. Our sky remains mostly cloudy with a few showers continuing to dot the radar. Luckily, today appears to be the last day that this will be the…
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Cooler weather? Yes, please! Plus a look at Florence

September 9, 2018

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, hurricane, major hurricane

The front that seemed to bring endless storms yesterday evening/last night is finally pushing through, despite the clouds lingering around. Behind this front is some much needed heat relief and lower humidity that should last through a majority of the coming week. Today A large stratiform cloud deck remains placed across the Mid-South behind the…
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Atlantic/Caribbean tropics getting started early

June 17, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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atlantic, hurricane, tropical

Atlantic hurricane season just started on June 1, but already things look to be “heating up” in the warm waters of the Caribbean and tropical Atlantic – about a month to six weeks earlier than average. AL93 – Yucatan/Gulf of Mexico Near the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico in the southern Gulf of Mexico, home to…
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Memorial Day weekend fireworks, from Mother Nature

May 26, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, holiday, hurricane, severe thunderstorms

A perfectly lovely few days to end this week, and what looks to be another set of nice days early next week, will book-end a warm, breezy, and muggy Memorial Day weekend that will also feature storms that have the potential to be severe. Let’s take the weekend day by day… Today The windiest day…
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U.S. continues to dodge hurricane bullets

August 7, 2016

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Erik Proseus

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hurricane, tropical

Not Memphis weather related, but very interesting nonetheless, especially if you frequent Gulf beaches on vacation! Dr. Philip Klotzbach, an expert in tropical research and forecasting at Colorado State University, offered some interesting facts on the records being broken due to an nearly unprecedented lack of hurricanes to affect the U.S., as reported in a…
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This week’s weather & Atlantic hurricane season

May 29, 2016

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, hurricane, memphis in may, tropical

MWN in May It’s been a crazy, busy month at MemphisWeather.net so I apologize for few blog posts than normal, but I’m grateful for the opportunities that seem to all come together in May! The primary activity for MWN this month has been Memphis in May. A big thank you to CEO Mr. Jim Holt…
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MWN Lightning Round: Joaquin forecasts, 1000-year rain, and the weekend forecast

October 7, 2015

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Erik Proseus

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education, flooding, forecast, hurricane

It’s time for another edition of the MWN Lightning Round! Today we tackle a couple topics related to recent events on the east coast and tropics, as well as take another quick look at the weekend forecast, which has changed a bit in the past couple of days. Hurricane Joaquin track forecasts Early last week,…
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Upper levels producing flooding in South Carolina and record cool temps locally

October 3, 2015

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, hurricane, record temps

An upper-level weather pattern that is fairly unusual is combining with the strongest hurricane of the year to produce varying rare conditions locally and across the Southeast. Starting outside the Mid-South, Hurricane Joaquin has gotten even stronger today as it departs the rain and wind-lashed Bahamas, heading on a northeast track that will take it…
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National Hurricane Center changes definition of Hurricane Warning in wake of Sandy

December 5, 2012

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Erik Proseus

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commentary, hurricane, national weather service, sandy

As first reported by AccuWeather, just 5 days after the end of the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season and a little over a month after “Post-Tropical Cyclone” (aka, Hurricane) Sandy washed ashore in New Jersey with nary a Hurricane Warning to be found, the National Hurricane Center has re-defined the warning that should have been issued.…
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