Category: atlantic

Saharan dust to visit the Mid-South

June 25, 2020

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, saharan dust

The next in a string of unusual events in 2020 may be the arrival of Saharan dust in the United States, and more specifically, the southeast U.S. and Mid-South! Before you start fearing the worst… though this seems to be a fairly noteworthy event as Saharan dust storms go, it actually is likely to have…
Read more
Atlantic/Caribbean tropics getting started early

June 17, 2017

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, hurricane, tropical

Atlantic hurricane season just started on June 1, but already things look to be “heating up” in the warm waters of the Caribbean and tropical Atlantic – about a month to six weeks earlier than average. AL93 – Yucatan/Gulf of Mexico Near the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico in the southern Gulf of Mexico, home to…
Read more
Friday afternoon update on Tropical Storm Isaac

August 24, 2012

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, hurricane, tropical

Last night, I wrote a pretty detailed blog on Tropical Storm Isaac. If you wish to review it, click here. I won’t go into quite as much detail today, but there have been a couple of fairly noteworthy developments since last night. 1. Intensity – As expected, the appearance of Isaac has improved and that…
Read more
Thursday evening update on Tropical Storm Isaac

August 23, 2012

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, hurricane, major hurricane, tropical

For the past day or so, we’ve been pushing out bits of information about Tropical Storm Isaac on our social feeds, however there is enough interest even in the Mid-South that it’s time to cull the latest information and put it together in one place. So here it is. We encourage you to follow us…
Read more
Major hurricane Ophelia’s effects recorded by NOAA buoy

October 3, 2011

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, buoy, major hurricane

On Saturday morning, October 1, as it reached category 3 strength, Hurricane Ophelia passed directly over a NOAA buoy positioned a couple hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda in the Atlantic Ocean. The position of buoy 41049 is shown in the map below. As you can see from the map, there is a network of buoys…
Read more
Tropical Storm Lee drops copious rainfall across the southeast

September 6, 2011

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, rain, tropical

The map below shows the 7-day total precipitation encompassing the first week of September through this morning at 7am. As you can see Tropical Storm Lee and it’s remnants brought remarkable amounts of precipitation to the Gulf Coast states and Tennessee Valley, thanks in large part to it’s very slow motion. While Memphis locations…
Read more
Squeeze play – cold front and Tropical Storm Lee combine to bring rainy, cooler weather

September 4, 2011

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, forecast discussion, tropical

T.S. Lee makes landfall and a cold front moves towards the region from the north on Sunday morning Tropical Storm Lee made landfall (if you can call it that, moving at 2-3 mph) over south-central Louisiana this morning and will move slowly northeast over the coming couple of days. It’s effects, in the form of…
Read more
Tropical Storm Lee eyes Gulf Coast – rain and cooler temps to result in the Mid-South

September 2, 2011

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, forecast discussion, tropical

Recently-upgraded Tropical Storm Lee is meandering ever so slowly over the northern Gulf of Mexico, roughly 180 miles west-southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River as of 7pm CDT Friday. Maximum sustained wind has increased to 45 mph today and will increase a little more as it creeps towards the south-central LA coastline over…
Read more
Could “Lee” bring tropical conditions to the Gulf Coast for Labor Day?

August 31, 2011

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, tropical

I’ve mentioned on social media a couple of times the strong possibility of a Gulf of Mexico tropical system this Labor Day weekend. Computer models are not in good agreement with exactly where and how strong, but it appears that the central and or western Gulf Coast could see heavy rain and breezy conditions this…
Read more
Weekend forecast looks nice in the Mid-South, but not in the northeast U.S!

August 25, 2011

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, forecast discussion, major hurricane, stormwatch+, tropical

The blog has been quiet of late, owing to many things going on behind the scenes, as well as other obligations that have prevented me from writing. One of the big things going on behind the scenes is the imminent release of our newest service for smartphone users – StormWatch+. I am very excited about…
Read more
Potential tropical system takes aim on parched Texas

July 27, 2011

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, drought, tropical

A strong tropical wave, which later this afternoon could become Tropical Depression 4 or Tropical Storm Don, is beginning to swirl just off the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, near Cancun. The graphic below shows the computer model forecasts for potential tracks of the storm. As you can see, it appears that Texas could…
Read more
2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

May 26, 2011

–

Erik Proseus

–

2010 recap, atlantic, forecast, tropical

Hurricane Isabel, 2003 With all of the severe weather, tornadoes, and flooding getting the press lately, the Atlantic Ocean is probably thinking “what about me?” The official forecasts have been issued and it’s Hurricane Preparedness Week this week as coastal areas gear up for another round of tropical peek-a-boo. Last year at this time, we were talking…
Read more
Recap of 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season

December 1, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, hurricane, tropical

As predicted by all of the major players at the start of this year’s Atlantic hurricane season, 2010 proved to be a very active year. The factors which came together to make this year about twice as active as the average year included a moderate La Nina event in the eastern Pacific resulting in lower…
Read more
Busy hurricane season continues with I, J, and K

September 15, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, hurricane, major hurricane, tropical

What seemed like a slow start to hurricane season has definitely taken on new life in September! The Atlantic basin is currently featuring 3 storms: Igor, Julia, and Karl (click image above for larger view). Igor (EE-gor) has been churning through the central Atlantic for several days now and has spent over 3 days at…
Read more
Peak of hurricane season today

September 10, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, hurricane, tropical

As the graph above (courtesy NOAA) shows, today (September 10) marks the peak of the average Atlantic hurricane season. To date, we have had 9 named storms and 2 unnamed depressions, 3 hurricanes, and 1 major hurricane. Fortunately, no major systems have made landfall along the U.S. coastline, though T.D. 2 passed through the Rio…
Read more
Mid-July Atlantic Tropical Update

July 20, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, tropical

So far, it’s been a relatively quiet start to the 2010 Atlantic tropical season (which had started with nearly unanimous predictions for a highly active season), with just one named storm (Alex) that went on to become a hurricane and a second Tropical Depression. Unfortunately, south Texas and northeast Mexico have been the recipients of…
Read more
Tropical disturbance organizing, will become T.D. 1

June 25, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, tropical

A disturbance traversing the southern Caribbean the past several days has continued to become more organized with deeper convection the past day or so and is now very near Tropical Depression strength (see satellite image above). The National Hurricane Center currently has a hurricane hunter aircraft investigating the system and could label the system T.D.…
Read more
2010 Atlantic tropical season ready to produce “Alex”?

June 13, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, tropical

So far, two weeks into the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, the tropics have been quiet. But that may change early this week as an area of low pressure over the north-central Atlantic has the potential to become the first tropical storm of the year – “Alex.” The National Hurricane Center indicates that conditions appear favorable…
Read more
Colorado State hurricane experts update their 2010 outlook

June 2, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, hurricane, major hurricane, tropical

In an update to my post from Monday, Colorado State University hurricane forecast experts Drs. Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray released their early June Atlantic hurricane outlook this morning. Previously (on April 7), they had predicted 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 major Atlantic hurricanes this year. Those numbers were all increased,…
Read more
Atlantic Hurricane Season begins Tuesday

May 31, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

atlantic, hurricane, tropical

The start of Atlantic Hurricane season is tomorrow, June 1, and there seems to be much fear and trepidation as this season begins. There are a few reasons for general increase in trepidation, but most of it is simply grounded in the unknown – from dire forecasts of doom and gloom, to a lingering environmental…
Read more