Category: winter

Cold air carries us into next week with precip chances mid-week

January 17, 2026

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter

A bitter cold MLK weekend leads to a brief warm-up and chance of precipitation mid-week. But will cold air and precip align?
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First Arctic Blast of the winter arrives Sunday

December 12, 2025

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Erik Proseus

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arctic cold, winter

An Arctic cold front is poised to deliver the first major blast of cold air this winter later this weekend.
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Peering into the crystal ball at the winter outlook

November 9, 2025

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Erik Proseus

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seasonal outlook, winter, winter outlook

A weak and short-lived La Nina is forecast for this winter. What does this mean for winter conditions in the Mid-South?
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Weather whiplash expected over the next week

November 6, 2025

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter

Seasonally warm temperatures will be interrupted by well below average conditions early next week.
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2025 starts cold, and a brief recap of 2024

January 1, 2025

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Erik Proseus

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annual summary, arctic cold, forecast discussion, winter

Preliminary numbers are in and 2024 was warmer and wetter than average in Memphis. However, 2025 appears ready to reverse course, at least for the first couple of weeks!
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This weekend’s weather: A taste of winter

November 27, 2024

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter

The Mid-South is about to get a reminder of what winter feels like!
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Winter has arrived – very active weather week ahead

January 6, 2024

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter

December warmth is long gone now and Mother Nature is reminding us it is indeed the season of winter. We’re also going to start making a dent in the rainfall deficit of the past few months in the coming week or so. I sent the post below on social media yesterday; it’s what we in…
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Another winter storm gone, time to look to the next one!

February 15, 2021

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter

Winter storm #1 brought a thick glaze of freezing rain to the metro last Wednesday night and also ushered in the first round of sub-freezing air. The prelude to storm #2 arrived yesterday as light snow throughout the day, coated over by a layer of sleet last night. This morning, heavy sleet changed to heavy…
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A wet Sunday leads to a December chill as cold Canadian air plunges south

November 28, 2020

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, forecast models, winter

With Thanksgiving in the rearview mirror, the 2020 calendar is about to flip one more page to December… and it can’t come soon enough! However, if the weather for the month ahead is anything like the first week of December promises to be, I might have to reconsider. Weekend weather (enjoy today!) Today might be…
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Arctic airmass intrusions and snow chances

January 17, 2019

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Erik Proseus

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arctic cold, forecast discussion, winter

While the cool, damp conditions and overcast skies of late are fairly normal for winter in Memphis, it appears Mother Nature may be poised to send “real” winter our way starting this weekend. While that means the collective antennae of Mid-South meteorologists are “up” for winter precipitation chances, the most likely result of this pattern…
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A weather smorgasbord this week, with an eye towards an Arctic air intrusion

January 13, 2019

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter

We had a few nice days this past week with mild temperatures and some sunshine that allowed the ground to dry out a bit. Of course, that was followed quickly by more rain and, today, cold weather and dreary cloud cover. Looking ahead, we’ll get a mix of clouds, some sun, cold weather, warming temperatures,…
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Cold weather breaks as temps climb (before yet another Arctic blast arrives!)

January 6, 2018

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter

The two-week period since Christmas Eve sure seemed like the Polar Express came to visit and then never left! In particular, the first 4 days of the New Year were exceptionally brutal with an average temperature of 21.4°, ranking as the 4th coldest such period on record! In fact, most everywhere east of the Rockies…
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Winter is back! Now how about some precip to match?

December 23, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter

The gully-washer is over and the cold air has arrived! Just as predicted in Thursday’s blog, widespread 3-5″ rainfall totals were recorded along the I-40 corridor Friday and Friday night. A few locations got close to 6″. Estimated 48-hour rainfall totals across the Mid-South through Saturday morning, courtesy of NWS-Memphis. Behind last night’s cold front,…
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5 Musings as November comes to an end

November 30, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, event weather, forecast discussion, GOES, GOES-R, tropical, winter

The month of November is wrapping up and we now head into the season in which people start asking (more) about important things (like snow). It’s also the end of a couple of other seasons though. Here’s more on that, as well as a look ahead to this weekend’s beautiful weather, a major weather pattern…
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So… is winter over??

February 21, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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seasonal outlook, spring, winter

You won’t believe (or maybe you would) how many times I’ve been asked whether winter is actually over. The short answer? I think so. Let’s take a look… First, if you think this was a “year without a winter,” you are only partially right. It’s been a while, and the recent heat has probably seered…
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Wait, I thought winter was over! The four-letter ‘S’ word returns…

March 27, 2015

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, snow, winter

I’m reminded of an elementary school song (that has always annoyed me as a parent) that goes like this: “This is the song that never ends, yes it goes on and on my friends…”, etc. The worst part is that the lyrics are such that it repeats ad nauseum. Despite some recent bouts of spring…
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MWN 2014-2015 Winter Outlook

November 10, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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education, seasonal outlook, winter

Winter appears to be starting a bit early this year, as Arctic air is poised to ooze south of the Mason-Dixon by mid-late week. But is that a foreshadow of things to come or just an anomalous event in what would be a reversal of last year’s cold winter? This year’s MWN Winter Outlook is…
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What do they say about broken clocks?

August 25, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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almanac, farmers almanac, seasonal outlook, winter

From the Farmer’s Almanac, via the NY Post, I find this screen capture incredibly ironic: The article above, dated April 14th and quoting the Farmer’s Almanac (which I pulled up this morning on the NYC Post website), indicates an “oppressively hot and humid summer” for the New York area. In the margin are suggested articles…
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Do cool Memphis Julys signal a cold and snowy winter?

August 6, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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climate, record temps, snow, winter

A question we have been asked a lot recently is what our unseasonably cool July might mean for the upcoming winter. We decided to look at the top 5 coldest Julys in Memphis and each of the following winters to see if there is any connection between cool summers and the following winter. For the…
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MWN Lightning Round: On the end of winter, weather marketing, and tornado bans

March 17, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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long-range forecast, tornado, winter

Winter over? Not so fast… I’ve seen and heard lots of complaints about the “return” to winter today in the wake of yesterday’s cold front, especially with spring break in the rearview mirror and the latter half of March out the front window (and my #NoMoreWinter campaign notwithstanding). With cloudy skies and a breezy north…
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