Category: autumn

An October severe weather threat, then REAL fall!

October 17, 2025

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, severe thunderstorms

Late summer finally comes to an end as a severe weather threat escorts REAL fall into the Mid-South!
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Drought worsens, but a much-needed pattern change is ahead

September 19, 2025

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, drought, forecast discussion, heat

Drought is here, and fall is coming! A pattern shift will usher in rain chances and somewhat cooler temps.
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This weekend’s weather: Real fall has arrived!

November 20, 2024

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, forecast discussion, freeze

With Thanksgiving just a week away, it’s about time Mother Nature makes it actually feel like fall!
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Chilly nights, nice warm afternoons – fall is finally here!

October 17, 2021

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, forecast discussion, intern, TeamMWN

If you’ve been tired of the summerlike heat, I’m sure you really enjoyed this past weekend! The good news is that nice weather looks to be sticking around all through the week ahead. The longer, chilly nights, and shorter, cooler days will also help to accelerate the changing colors of the foliage. Peak fall colors…
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5 Musings as November comes to an end

November 30, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, event weather, forecast discussion, GOES, GOES-R, tropical, winter

The month of November is wrapping up and we now head into the season in which people start asking (more) about important things (like snow). It’s also the end of a couple of other seasons though. Here’s more on that, as well as a look ahead to this weekend’s beautiful weather, a major weather pattern…
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Humid weather and storm chances – then what?

October 9, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, forecast discussion

I don’t think many of us were pleased to see the return of summer over the weekend. We can thank the atmosphere surrounding Hurricane Nate for that, as it dragged humid Gulf air into the southern (and in fact, eastern) U.S. That airmass featured dewpoints in the lower 70s and high temperatures in the upper…
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Our first autumn cold front nears, plus a look at Irma’s potential track

September 4, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, forecast discussion, Irma, tropical

Have you grown tired of the off and on summertime heat across the Mid-South? Are you ready for the fall-like weather to return to the Memphis area for September? If so, then we have some great news. Mother Nature is listening to your complaints. Fall will be back for the area this week. The Trough…
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Warmest October on record… is November any better?

October 31, 2016

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, record temps

Despite some disagreement between the warm weather lovers and those who are OVER IT on whether this month’s weather has been “pleasant,” there’s no mistaken that temperatures have been well above average. In fact, we’re now guaranteed to see October 2016 at the top of the record books for warmest on record before today’s final…
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Another hot weekend, then FALL arrives!

September 23, 2016

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, forecast discussion

Tired of the heat? Yeah, me too. If you can hold out another couple days, I have great news! Despite fall officially starting on Thursday morning (you didn’t try balancing an egg on end at 9:21am did you?), summer weather continues for a few more days. Thursday’s high of 95° came within a degree of…
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Summer draws to a close, but warm weather continues

September 22, 2015

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, forecast discussion

Fall officially begins Wednesday morning at 3:22am CDT! The last days of summer have been warm, though we’ve had some nice mornings and not unpleasant afternoons thanks to lower humidity typical of September. Unfortunately, Mother Nature won’t necessarily recognize the official start of fall with cooler temperatures. Temperatures will remain in the mid to upper 80s…
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Autumn officially arrives with fall-like weather!

September 22, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, forecast discussion

After a weekend that felt like late summer to many, with highs near 90 and humidity a bit above the “comfortable” level, we’re basking the wake of a fall cold front today! High temps are remaining in the 70s and dewpoints are hovering around 50 on a north breeze, leading to a very comfortable afternoon.…
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Awaiting the arrival of a season-ending cold front

September 8, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, cold front, forecast discussion

Despite a very late start, summer did end up rearing its ugly 3-H head (hazy, hot, and humid) the past few weeks. Though there were a few brief respites in August, the end of last week into the first half of the weekend did me in. I am over the heat and especially the humidity.…
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Holy cold snap, Batman! Major Canadian air intrusion poised to dive south

November 9, 2013

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Erik Proseus

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arctic cold, autumn, cold front, forecast discussion

As we approach mid-November, we’ve had a fair number of cold fronts that have dropped overnight lows near or below 40, some places in outlying areas (especially to the northeast of the metro) have touched freezing, and we’ve had some days with highs only in the 50s. However, the first official “winter is getting closer”…
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The changing seasons – will Memphis see 90 again in 2012?

September 14, 2012

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, event weather, forecast discussion

Finally! It seems like more comfortable weather has made an appearance this week in the Mid-South following another summer that seemed like it would never end. The passage of Isaac over Arkansas seemed to be the “event” that signaled the end of a hot, dry summer and more temperate conditions, lower humidity, and more frequent…
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Autumn weather on the weekend menu!

September 6, 2012

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, cold front, forecast discussion

After suffering through a seemingly-unending summer, Mid-Southerners should be licking their chops over a gorgeous fall-like forecast that begins this weekend and extends into next week. The abrupt weather change is due to the first true Canadian front of the year pushing through the region. As one might expect with temperatures in the mid 90s…
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Another mid-week cold front brings rain and cooler weather

October 25, 2011

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, forecast discussion

Last week, a strong cold front came through, bringing post-frontal rain showers and a blast of cold air that dropped temperatures to their lowest level of the fall and widespread frost outside the city limits. This week, another autumn cold front arrives in a similar fashion. Once again, we’ll see scattered showers ahead of the…
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Autumn cold blast due by the middle of next week!

October 13, 2011

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, forecast discussion

As I was looking over the mid-range model data today, I saw reinforcing evidence of something I had been watching for a couple of days. In fact, when I saw it, I tweeted about it. Models are consistent in predicting a major blast of fall weather next week! The map below shows the GFS model forecast…
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Thursday cold front will make for an incredible weather weekend

September 28, 2011

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, forecast discussion

After dealing with a bout of severe weather this past Sunday, this week has quickly turned around to become a nice first week of Fall, even as temperatures return to the lower and mid 80s, a bit above the seasonal average for late September. Another cold front is on the approach, however, which will take…
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A beautiful start to the weekend, but one that will likely end wet

September 23, 2011

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, forecast discussion

It was about as perfect of a start to fall as you could want it across the Mid-South! Temperatures today have been in the 70s with crystal clear sunny skies after the passing cold front last night that brought just a few showers, with trace to very light rainfall amounts at most in the metro…
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Autumn begins at 4:04am Friday – Happy Fall!

September 22, 2011

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Erik Proseus

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autumn, equinox

It’s time to put the summer of 2011 officially behind us! The June-July-August period ended up as the 3rd warmest “meteorological summer” in recorded Memphis history, behind 1980 and 2010. So far, September has brought a nice turn of events with an average temperature through the 21st some 2.3 degrees below normal, even though it…
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