Category: forecast discussion
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Last year, the first weekend in May, and by association the Beale Street Music Festival, was blessed with amazing weather. But as you might expect from “Memphis in Mud,” consecutive years would be taking it a bit too far! So, get those galoshes, rain boots, and ponchos ready (because umbrellas aren’t allowed), and let’s dig…
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UPDATED – 6:50pm CDT: This evening’s threat is waning as storms are having trouble departing MO and are weakening as they do, thanks to a cap of stable air they are attempting to sink south into. Our overnight chance of rain is now just 20%. The rest of the blog regarding tomorrow is still on…
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A beautiful spring weekend is about in the books; hope you got a chance to get out and enjoy it! A little warmth crept into the area as high pressure shifted to our east, allowing warm southerly air to move in. With almost no cloud cover, highs reached 80°+ each day this weekend, but humidity…
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It’s been a dreary and cool couple of days as an upper level low pressure system has moved SLOWLY over the region. As we head into the weekend, we have one thing to say to Mr. Upper Low: As of Friday morning, an upper level low pressure system was over the region with it’s counter-clockwise…
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A chill to start the weekend turned very windy and much warmer today as a developing weather system in the Plains begins to exert its influence on the region. In fact, with the dry, tilled ground in the Mississippi Delta and southerly wind gusts of 40-50 mph, blowing dust has resulted in very low visibility…
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Pleasant spring weather gives way to heavy spring rain and a few strong thunderstorms as March goes out like a lion! Already with a foot of rain for the month (12.01″), Memphis International Airport has recorded its fourth wettest March on record. If the forecast amount of rainfall occurs in the next 48 hours, March…
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Warm and windy conditions precede the next big frontal system to move through the region. The parent low pressure system has already dumped inches of snow, accompanies by very strong wind, in Colorado, which has prompted Blizzard Warnings in the northeastern portion of the state and the closure of the the Denver Airport this afternoon!…
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After weeks of above normal temperatures, spring officially begins with – what else – snow and Freeze Warnings! After an unusually warm winter, astronomists deem it spring and “the lost winter” shows up! Today – cold and “snow”? What may be the last gasp of winter arrives with accumulating snow on the northeastern seaboard and…
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A gorgeous weekend is in the books as high temperatures reached 70 degrees both Saturday and Sunday with a good deal of sunshine. Warm weather is here to stay, but the sunshine will be replaced by clouds, increasing wind, and, by mid-week, rain measured in inches. Starting the week off, dry and warm conditions are…
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In yesterday’s blog about the weather this week, we discussed the probability of severe storms on Tuesday, indicating that the likelihood of severe weather was rather low. While this update isn’t a complete “180,” today’s forecast data caused me to pause for a closer look. First let me say that another Super Tuesday severe weather…
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The past week ended cool, but just like last weekend, beautiful spring weather arrived just in time for the weekend! We’ve certainly enjoyed temperatures in the 60s the past couple days with a breezy south wind. Early week forecast A weak front arrives tonight, bringing a slight chance of showers mainly in the late evening…
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A warm few days comes to an end tonight as a cold front moves through the metro this evening. Showers and a few thunderstorms will depart to our south by late evening. No more 60s and 70s in the forecast for the foreseeable future! Monday will be a “tweener” day as the front sinks further…
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A very cold start to the week gave way to slightly warmer temperatures to end it, but another Arctic blast is diving south today and will reach the Mid-South tonight. No precipitation is forecast with this Arctic front, but you’ll definitely notice it tomorrow as the “feels like” temperatures will be some 30° colder at…
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A SUPER day in the weather department today as temperatures push towards the 60° mark thanks to a warm southwest breeze and a good deal of sunshine. A big shift in the upper level pattern takes place this week though, transitioning overnight tonight as an Arctic cold front moves through the Mid-South. Yep, it’s bringin’…
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I’ve dissected this storm and possible scenarios daily since late last week and, in fact, started raising the awareness flag last Wednesday on social media. So hopefully by now, the fact that we could get severe weather tomorrow isn’t a surprise. From that perspective, nothing has changed. The scenarios mentioned yesterday are, in fact, still plausible.…
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A windy and unseasonably warm day is concluding across the metro. Temperatures climbed to 70 degrees with wind gusts measured as high as 40 mph thanks to the sun poking through between the clouds, mixing strong wind at a few thousand feet down to the surface. A cold front will move into the area tonight,…
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A very warm weekend is in progress, but the crystal ball has a good chance of strong to severe storms in it for Tuesday. We break down the weather for this weekend and an early look at what we might expect on Tuesday afternoon in today’s video blog shown below. We are monitoring the potential for…
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It’s the day before a major winter storm and it’s been chaotic. But enough about Kroger… Here’s the latest information you need to know. Overview – what you need to know Watches/Warnings/Advisories: Winter Storm Warnings are now in effect for tonight through Friday. What/when: Rain changing to sleet or freezing rain after 4am, then snow…
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With the relatively minor (for most) winter event this morning now in the rearview mirror, we turn our attention to the next one, which has the potential to pack a punch and be much more of an impact to the Mid-South. As we did yesterday here on the blog, we’ll start with the overview and…
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** UPDATED at 3:35pm for southward extension of the Winter Weather Advisory, adjustments to the overview section, and red text in the discussion ** Yesterday I discussed the risk of reading much into medium-range snowfall forecasts, especially in terms of amounts, in the context of potential Mid-South snowfall this Friday. Today, we take a closer…
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