Category: winter weather

Wednesday night update on our weekend winter storm

January 21, 2026

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Erik Proseus

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winter storm, winter weather

Wednesday night update on this weekend’s winter storm, including how much we expect when, and a lot of pictures!
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On winter forecasts in the South and initial thoughts on this weekend

January 19, 2026

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Erik Proseus

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winter storm, winter weather

Initial thoughts on potential winter weather this weekend, including what to expect and when, and how to start preparing.
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Digging deep into our first potential winter weather event of the season

November 30, 2025

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Erik Proseus

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weather 101, winter weather

With the first potential winter weather event of the season at hand, we dig into what is expected locally, as well as a precip type tutorial.
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Winter storm takes aim at Mid-South

January 8, 2025

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Erik Proseus

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Daily Memphian, snow, winter storm, winter weather

With Arctic air in place and low pressure moving along the Gulf Coast, the stage is set for a significant winter storm by Mid-South standards on Friday.
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Arctic airmass trails Sunday’s stormy front

January 4, 2025

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Erik Proseus

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arctic cold, severe thunderstorms, winter weather

The Mid-South will experience weather whiplash over the next 36 hours as a significant cold front ushers in the coldest air of the season this week.
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Winter storm wrap-up, colder than #StupidCold, and one more shot at winter precip

January 16, 2024

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter storm, winter weather

Quick blog this evening… We made it through the MLK winter storm with a pretty solid 4-6″ thick blanket over the area (some more, some less). The sunshine returned today and started to work its magic on the major streets, but those side streets are still a mess. Fortunately not a sheet of ice, so…
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Sunday evening update on this week’s ice potential

January 29, 2023

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Erik Proseus

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winter weather

This is an update to the blog posted on Saturday. Recent model data, including high-resolution data that now extends out through Tuesday/Wednesday, has trended a bit cooler than previously. For those that were hoping we might miss out on icy conditions in the Memphis metro, it’s not necessarily good news. For those hoping for a…
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An active pattern, but this time with cold air mixed in!

January 28, 2023

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

A very wet month is about to get wetter before we turn the page to February on Tuesday. Multiple rounds of precipitation have moved through in the past couple of weeks, and looking ahead we’ve got another wet pattern expected for the next several days, as waves of precipitation move through. This time though, temperatures…
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Winter arrives! Brace for cold air (…and winter shenanigans?)

December 15, 2022

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

First half of December wet and warm We have dealt with almost two solid weeks of cloud cover, periods of fog, and multiple rainy systems and thunderstorms to start December. The result was 4-6″ of rain, saturated ground, and a bunch of Mid-Southerners fighting Season Affective Disorder (making us feel SAD heading into the Christmas…
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Wrapping up the January 16, 2022 snow event

January 16, 2022

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Erik Proseus

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event recap, snow, winter weather

Well, that was fun! That is one way to describe about 3 days on non-stop hand-wringing over one of the most challenging winter weather forecasts this meteorologist has encountered in 25 years of forecasting the Memphis area. Friday’s blog described the scenario – one in which a rare atmospheric setup resulted in an upper level…
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Friday update on our MLK weekend winter storm

January 14, 2022

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

Another round of winter weather is bearing down on the Mid-South, the third in the first two weeks of the new year. Winter held off until the calendar turned but, with the exception of a few nice days sprinkled in, has dominated the month of January to this point. It seems we’ve either had one…
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Another winter weather event? Looking ahead to the MLK weekend…

January 12, 2022

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

Barely two weeks into 2022, just removed from the warmest December in over 130 years, and we’re already looking at the third winter weather event of 2022! Let’s start with the wrap-up to this week first. End of the week High pressure that brought chilly weather early this week has scooted off to our east,…
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24 hours out! What to expect from Thursday’s winter weather event

January 5, 2022

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

** UPDATED: 12:00PM FOR ISSUANCE OF A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ** ** UPDATED: 4:30PM FOR UPDATED OFFICIAL GRAPHICS FROM THE NWS ** ORIGINAL POST: We’re about 24 hours out from the second winter weather event of 2022. I will attempt to provide more detail to supplement what I wrote yesterday in this space, starting with…
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First week of 2022 brings another chance of winter weather

January 4, 2022

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

Winter took its sweet time arriving, but once it did… did it ever! An all-time January record high tied on New Year’s Day (79) was interrupted by thunderstorms and a piledriver of a cold front that brought a shock to the system on Sunday. Sleet and then snow fell as an upper level low moved…
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Temperatures and snowfall records set during the recent Arctic Outbreak

February 20, 2021

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Erik Proseus

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event recap, record temps, snow, winter storm, winter weather

Now that we are back above freezing (at least during the day) and the #StupidCold Arctic Outbreak is receding, we can look back and see, statistically, just how cold and snowy it was. The following temperature and snowfall records are now in the books: Coldest high temperature: February 14 (19°) Coldest low temperature: February 15…
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Snow sourced to a manufacturing plant? Plus a summary of today’s ice storm

February 11, 2021

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Erik Proseus

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ice storm, snow, winter weather

A dynamic winter storm system moved across the greater Memphis metropolitan area over the past 24 hours! Starting with the arrival of a light coating of ice last evening, the storm picked up steam in the wee hours Friday, arriving with a boom for many – in the form of “thunder-ice” about 4am! If you…
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Latest details on our approaching ice storm [as of Wednesday 6:45pm]

February 10, 2021

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, ice storm, winter weather

[ UPDATE 6:45pm: While temperatures dropped a bit more quickly than expected late this afternoon and now sit below freezing across all of Shelby County, this does not change the earlier forecast for precipitation amounts or impacts. Most, if not all, precipitation was going to fall once temperatures fell below freezing anyway. ] Current Warnings…
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Arctic cold air and precip chances this week – what is known and unknown?

February 7, 2021

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

I’ve purposefully not put together a blog on this coming week’s weather pattern until now, because sometimes there’s just too much guesswork to forecast with much confidence. But as we prepare for the week ahead, it’s time to at least address the knowns and unknowns, and perhaps describe why this forecast appears to be so…
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Wet weather to finish out 2020, details on winter weather potential

December 27, 2020

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

Following a very cold Christmas Eve and Christmas Day (the coldest Christmas in Memphis in 20 years actually!), the weekend has proven to be just delightful. After topping out just above freezing Friday, we saw 20 degrees of warming Saturday, into the mid 50s, and another 10 degrees of warming today as the mercury reached…
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Winter officially arrives today, but cold winter air waits until Christmas. How about winter precip?

December 21, 2020

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Erik Proseus

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Christmas, forecast discussion, winter weather

Quick outlook Pleasant weather for the first half of the week, rain chances Wednesday, then clear and cold for Christmas. First half of the week As winter officially arrives (Monday morning at 4:02am), Monday thru Wednesday will be nice with a return of southerly winds which will bring highs near 60. Skies will be clear…
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