Category: winter weather

2015 starts wet with a chance of wintry precip

January 1, 2015

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, sounding, winter weather

Happy New Year! Unfortunately, we will start 2015 in a wet and cool fashion. A hint of possible sleet has put us meteorologists in front of the computer models and checking out current atmospheric conditions early! I’ll mainly focus on the upcoming 8 hours, as that is when the threat of any wintry precipitation…
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New Year’s Eve forecast and a chance of wintry weather Thursday night [VIDEO]

December 30, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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event weather, forecast discussion, holiday, video, winter weather

Wrapping up 2014 with a brief look at temps and precip for the past year, the discussing COLD conditions for your New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day as well as an overrunning precipitation event on Thursday night that could mean a chance of wintry weather for a short period. Bottom line Very cold conditions…
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Another winter weather event tonight – this one NOT a surprise

November 16, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, snow, winter weather

Another Arctic cold front moves through the Mid-South overnight, dropping temperatures as precipitation moves out behind a low pressure system moving through the southeastern states. This is a familiar pattern for meteorologists. The timing of the arrival of cold air and departure of deepest available moisture always creates an interesting scenario for wintry precipitation in…
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Just What You Don’t Want to See – Another (Minor) Chance of Wintry Weather

March 4, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

Although this is probably the last thing you want to hear right now, winter weather is possible yet again Wednesday night into Thursday morning. On the bright side this threat is very minimal and we do not expect any major impacts in the Memphis metro area. However, the potential is high enough that we are…
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Winter Storm Warning posted as March comes in like a lion

March 1, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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ice storm, winter storm, winter weather

Computer model data continues to indicate the likelihood of a potentially significant winter storm late Sunday in the metro. As confidence increases and models remain in good agreement as to the potential, the Winter Storm Watch for most of the metro counties has been upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning. The warning is issued when…
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UPDATED: One More Winter Threat Then A Distinct Warming Trend

February 11, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, snow, winter weather

UPDATE 6:35PM: The Winter Weather Advisory has been expanded to include the remainder of the metro east of the MS River due to expansion of precipitation heading in our direction and model trends indicating that around an inch of snow will be possible most of the metro starting late tonight and lasting through mid-day tomorrow. An…
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The news you don’t want regarding west TN snow

February 9, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, snow, winter weather

Computer models give, and they take away just as fast. What appeared to be our best shot of accumulating snow is now nothing more than another tease. Yesterday we were looking at models solutions that ranged from 3-5″ snow, with one model printing out up to 9″ of snow (no, we didn’t advertise that then…
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Winter Storm Watch: Significant snow possible early this week

February 8, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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snow, winter weather

For those complaining about how we never get a “good snow” and were mildly disappointed in the 1/2″ that fell overnight, your wish may yet come true! While details are still to be ironed out and those that we are looking at now will change between now on early in the week, it appears that…
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Good chance of snow tonight, but how much and what are the impacts?

February 7, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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snow, winter weather

This is an update to last night’s post on the forecast for snow overnight tonight. A fast-moving upper-level disturbance will sweep out of the Southern Plains and across the Mid-South overnight. With cold air in place and precipitation likely, we’re expecting snow. Liquid equivalent amounts (if snow were melted) are expected to be light, under…
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Mid-South snow possible again as we head into the weekend

February 6, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, snow, winter weather

Welcome to the MWN Blog! Let me preface this blog with a simple statement: snow is NOT guaranteed in the time frames that we will be talking about, but there is certainly the possibility for accumulating snowfall on multiple occasions in the next week. Analysis Now, based on the latest model guidance, there is a…
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Winter weather statement: Multiple systems expected in the coming week

February 6, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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winter weather

The National Weather Service in Memphis issued this statement earlier this morning: A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENINGACROSS THE MIDSOUTH AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IS EXPECTED. LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER…
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Winter weather forecasting in the South – it’s not for the faint of heart

February 5, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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meteorology, rant, snow, winter weather

Winter weather forecasting in the South has a way of reminding us (meteorologists) that we are human and NOT in control. It reminds us that, though we know so much more than we did a year ago, five years ago, or twenty years ago, there is still so much more to learn. It reminds us…
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Update on winter weather (and flooding) in the area this afternoon and tonight

February 4, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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winter weather

Posted Tuesday, 3:30pm: Due to very heavy rain for much of the afternoon, flash flooding and stream flooding has become an issue across the area. An Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory was followed quickly by a Flash Flood Warning for Shelby, DeSoto, Tunica, and southern Crittenden Co and points SW of the metro due…
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Another winter weather event across portions of the Mid-South early Tuesday

February 3, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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winter weather

Although winter weather just concluded last night, we once again have the potential to be dealing with some more frozen precipitation tomorrow morning. The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for areas north and west of Shelby County, including Tipton and Crittenden Counties (see map below) starting at 6am. We’re not expecting…
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Sunday afternoon update: winter weather still expected tonight

February 2, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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winter weather

5:30pm UPDATE: An update to watches and warnings. All of the metro is now in a Winter Weather Advisory into the overnight hours. 3:20pm UPDATE: ** Ice accumulation remains the biggest concern as of this update. ** WARNINGS/ADVISORIES: Temps have been sitting at 33.5-34.0 in the metro for the past couple of hours as precip…
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Details on winter weather in the Memphis metro Sunday/Sunday night

February 1, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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winter weather

It looks like the Bluff City may finally get a shot at some winter weather after a month of cold temperatures but little winter precip other than flurries! The time frame of interest (or “concern”) for most will be after dark Sunday evening. This blog post will focus primarily on the expected precip types, timing,…
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A close look at potential winter weather on Sunday night

January 31, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

We’ve mentioned on social media that there are perhaps multiple scenarios in the coming week in which winter weather is possible. The first of those will be Sunday. We’ll take a look at that in just a moment, but first what to expect between now and then. Leading into Sunday, a very warm day is…
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A Mixed Bag: Warm and wet followed by possible winter weather

January 30, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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arctic cold, cold front, forecast discussion, winter weather

Overview: After a much colder than average January for the Memphis metro we’ll finally start to see a warmer pattern take shape for the next few days. A building ridge to our east will help bring warmer, moist air into the region into this weekend. As you can probably expect, with any warm flow coming…
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Winter Weather Advisory: light icing expected Thursday AM

January 8, 2014

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, freezing rain, sleet, winter weather

It seems we can’t catch a break from wintry weather, and yet no good snowfall! Before we ended our 67-hour streak of below-freezing temperatures this morning at 10am, the National Weather Service had issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the metro, in effect tonight until noon Thursday. An upper-level disturbance will move across the area…
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History of Christmas Day weather in Memphis

December 15, 2013

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Erik Proseus

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Christmas, holiday, snow, winter weather

As we enter the Christmas season and Mid-Southerners start wondering about the chances of a Bing Crosby Christmas, I thought this post would be a good one to re-visit and update. So, what does history say about the chances of a white Christmas in the Bluff City? Records that go back to 1889 show that…
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