Category: winter weather

Another chance for winter weather this week?

December 1, 2020

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

With our first “winter weather event” (cold rain Sunday and flurries Monday) behind us, but cold air still in place, it’s time to look ahead to the next weather maker that will move into the region. We’ll dissect the chances that additional winter weather might occur in today’s blog. Upper level features An upper-air trough…
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Cold front brings cold blast and precip. But will it snow??

December 8, 2019

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, snow, winter weather

A warm front has pulled to our north, setting the Mid-South in the warm zone ahead of the next frontal system. But in 24 hours, a strong cold front will make you forget all about tomorrow’s highs in the 60s! The temperature drop continues through Tuesday with precipitation falling. And of course, the questions have…
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UPDATE on winter weather chances and an Arctic blast

February 27, 2019

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

UPDATE (Fri., 3/1/19): About 48 hours ago, the blog below was written, indicating the potential for some winter weather on Sunday afternoon, followed by a cold snap that would rival some we see in the middle of winter. This serves as a short update to that info (scroll down to the Sunday/next week sections below…
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Looking ahead to Monday night snow and trailing Arctic cold

January 26, 2019

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

All eyes are on Monday night. I know because I have heard from you, especially the teachers out there! 🙂 But let’s take a quick trip through the weekend before we delve into the arrival of yet another, more prolonged perhaps, cold snap. Saturday and Sunday A few flurries flew across the Mid-South last night…
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Update on Wednesday’s winter weather chances

January 22, 2019

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

After a semi-detailed blog yesterday that raised some hopes, it appears that Mother Nature may have pulled another fast one on us. In all actuality, a few degrees really DOES make a difference. The main change to the forecast is that the arrival of the cold front ushering in the colder air looks to be…
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A winter reprieve, but another round of “precip” is on horizon!

January 21, 2019

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

9:30am Tuesday: The information for Wednesday has been updated. Please see our social media feeds for the latest. Forecast impacts have decreased since this was published. Winter definitely made itself known this weekend as light snow brought a coating of white the metro Saturday evening, followed by a sunny but cold day on Sunday with…
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Saturday afternoon update on tonight’s #memsnow

January 19, 2019

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Erik Proseus

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snow, winter weather

Updates at 3:45pm are highlighted. The Arctic front has moved through the entire metro – and wasn’t it a doozy? Temperatures were near 60° at 11:30am and now are in the lower to mid 40s (as of 2pm) with northwest wind routinely gusting to 30-35 mph. Memphis International recorded a 49 mph wind gust as…
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Winter Weather Advisory in effect – what to expect

December 8, 2018

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

6:45pm UPDATE — The forecast remains largely on track. Temperatures are dropping into the mid 30s this evening with several hours of precipitation to move through. Though they are not far from freezing at the surface, there remains a bit of warm air aloft as well that is keeping precipitation from changing to anything wintry…
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Saturday morning wintry mix??

April 6, 2018

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

Just a quick update to our blog post from last evening. My discussion on the front arriving tonight is still accurate. Rain is expected to develop soon and linger throughout the afternoon hours, fairly steady at times. The heaviest remains in north MS and our thunder chance is low. The front arrives around 10pm tonight…
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Turning our eyes to Monday night – more snow??

January 14, 2018

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

Our first winter weather event (and “snow day”) is in the rearview mirror, but impacts linger this weekend as bitterly cold air settles over the region. Most areas within the metro ended up with anywhere from 1-1.5″ of sleet and snow and very light amounts of ice glaze on Friday. The sleet being the predominant…
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Friday’s winter weather event – our first call at the details

January 10, 2018

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Erik Proseus

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winter storm, winter weather

The best chance of wintry precipitation so far this year arrives this Friday. While (most) everyone looks forward to “snow days,” if you end up with a change of plans from a normal day this time, it will most likely be due to ice, not snow. Snowball fights are currently not in the cards! First…
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MWN Interview: Dr. David Stephens, “Winter Weather in a Southern School District”

January 12, 2017

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Erik Proseus

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interview, school closings, snow, winter weather

Earlier this week, MemphisWeather.net meteorologist Erik Proseus had the opportunity to sit down with Bartlett City Schools Superintendent Dr. David Stephens to talk about winter weather, and specifically the process a southern school district goes through in preparing for and executing operations when winter weather is forecast. Though his answers apply specifically to Bartlett, from…
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Details on a roller coaster weather weekend

December 16, 2016

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, severe thunderstorms, winter weather

If you’ve ever ridden a roller coaster you know that there is typically a long steady climb then, just after peaking, a plummet that results in your stomach relocating to somewhere around your neck. Well hang on to your hats grandma, because our weather pattern (at least the temperature) is about to do the same…
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A blast of cold, then Valentine’s Day precip – but what type?

February 12, 2016

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, winter weather

A very cold start to the week gave way to slightly warmer temperatures to end it, but another Arctic blast is diving south today and will reach the Mid-South tonight. No precipitation is forecast with this Arctic front, but you’ll definitely notice it tomorrow as the “feels like” temperatures will be some 30° colder at…
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Tonight is worth monitoring – Winter Weather Advisory posted

January 19, 2016

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, freezing rain, winter weather

** UPDATED at 3:35pm for southward extension of the Winter Weather Advisory, adjustments to the overview section, and red text in the discussion ** Yesterday I discussed the risk of reading much into medium-range snowfall forecasts, especially in terms of amounts, in the context of potential Mid-South snowfall this Friday. Today, we take a closer…
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The Results Show: Reviewing our 2014-2015 Winter Outlook

March 16, 2015

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Erik Proseus

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accuracy, seasonal outlook, winter weather

Now that it is mid-March with highs in the mid 70s, we can probably safely safe winter 2014-’15 is over for the Mid-South. That doesn’t mean we won’t see temps drop below freezing for a couple of hours some morning or frost on the ground. In fact, on average the last freeze date is still…
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UPDATED — Our call on Wednesday’s snow potential

February 24, 2015

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, snow, winter weather

UPDATE – 9:00pm Tuesday The event looks to be pretty much on track, so please see the post below from this afternoon for details left out here. The models have come into decent agreement with the “outliers” a little more in line. Confidence is increasing in the forecast made below, which includes about an inch…
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The last week of February brings… more snow and cold!?!

February 21, 2015

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Erik Proseus

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forecast discussion, snow, winter weather

Wow, what a week! It’s like winter showed up as soon as the rodent popped his head up out of his hole on February 2! Somebody whack that guy! It’s been a cold winter, but we’ve been dry. That changed this week with multiple icy systems that nearly provided most students in the area with…
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Winter storm #1 in the books, #2 on the way, but first an Arctic rush!

February 18, 2015

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Erik Proseus

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event recap, forecast discussion, winter weather

Monday recap The President’s Day winter storm (#Snobama) officially broke the 1,167-day “snowless” streak,* forcing us to reset the MWN Snow Counter. However, we take partial issue with doing so, which led us to the creation of Official AND Unofficial Counters: * Per NWS official definition for climate record keeping purposes, “snow” is defined such…
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Ten Things You Should Know About Winter Weather Forecasts

February 14, 2015

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Erik Proseus

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snow, winter storm, winter weather

All credit for this goes to Rick Smith of the NWS in Norman, OK and a personal friend. It applies not only to Oklahoma, but here as well. You can substitute “snow” for sleet or freezing rain throughout, depending on the particular scenario. We’ve said it before – winter weather forecasts in the south are…
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