Category: forecast discussion
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Hurricane Ida has become a strong category 2 storm as it enters the southern Gulf of Mexico this afternoon, packing 100 mph wind as it passes east of Cancun. Forecast tracks and strength are complicated by several factors including upper-level low pressure over the northwestern Gulf, an approaching trough that will move into the southeastern…
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As of this morning, the driest month of the year (on average) has seen just over 7″ of rainfall in 2009, more than double the average of 3.31″. Unfortunately, we aren’t done yet. With 3 days to go in the month and quite possibly one doozy of a storm system ahead, we will likely end…
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The overall weather pattern has become more progressive, and more typical of autumn, this week as fairly quick-hitting cold fronts move through every few days with generally fair weather between (take today’s lower 70s for instance!). The next frontal system moves through the region tomorrow (Tuesday) as low pressure over the western Gulf moves directly…
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Today’s weather map shows low presure developing over the central Plains, broad high pressure over the eastern U.S., and moisture (clouds) from former Hurricane Rick in the eastern Pacific streaming in from the southwest. Over the next 24 hours, the high will shift east, allowing the low to move northeast, dragging a cold front towards…
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Today’s national forecast map shows a couple of weather stories for the day. On the West Coast, the remnants of Super Typhoon Melor, which last week was the first typhoon to make landfall in Japan in two years, has turned into the first powerful fall Pacific storm of the season. Wind could reach 40-60 mph…
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Today is “setup” day for the Mid-South ahead of the next major weather ststem to affect the area. We started off fairly pleasant this morning (temps in the lower 60s, some cloud cover, and generally dry conditions), but it will become very warm, quite breezy, and muggy by this afternoon, with a small chance of…
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We’ve enjoyed a gorgeous fall week as the calendar turns to October tomorrow. Typical fall weather will mean cool crisp mornings, pleasant afternoons, and occasionally breezy conditions ahead of passing cold fronts every few days. Some come through dry, others can pack a wallop. Our first true “autumn front” arrives tomorrow night and this one…
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The weather pattern we have dealt with for most of this week looks to continue a couple more days, though the rain chances don’t stop until we get well into next week. Yesterday it appeared there would be a fairly significant cold front that would move through on Monday or Tuesday and dry out the…
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The latest computer model extended forecasts are indicating that the current weather pattern over this region of the country may remain stagnant throughout the week and into the weekend. The pattern consists of a vertically-stacked low pressure system (meaning low pressure at levels of the atmosphere) that is sitting over the ArkLaTex (Arkansas-Louisiana-Texas border region)…
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Thanks to low pressure at the middle levels of the atmosphere, the work week has started off wet across the region. The low, which spun off the Texas coast late last week and has moved slowly into eastern TX now, will continue to slowly move east into the Lower Mississippi River Valley the next few…
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Five-day total precipitation forecast for Sept. 11-16 For the last several days, most of the scattered shower and thunderstorm activity has been confined to northern Mississippi, though a few heavy showers have popped up over the metro region as well. That pattern will continue one to two more days before rain chances increase across greater…
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Unfortunately, after one of the wettest Julys on record, this is becoming old hat… Another potent upper-level trough and accompanying cold front (stronger than usual for this time of year), will move into the Mid-South today. At 8am, storms are already firing in central AR and pushing in our general direction. The atmosphere has plenty…
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Not-so-good news and VERY good news in the Memphis area forecast. First, we have to get through the not-so-good… more heat and humidity are on tap for today with a southerly breeze and a fair amount of sunshine. Today will be the warmest day of the week with highs well into the 90s (mid 90s…
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