Category: forecast discussion
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The Mid-South is on the backside of the first major blast of Arctic winter air, having been through 4 days of well below normal temperatures, with highs near 40 and lows well into the 20s (teens in some areas away from the concrete of the city). The weather will continue it’s roller coaster pattern for…
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With one of the biggest travel weeks of the year coming up and plenty of celebrations planned, there is certainly more interest in the weather forecast than usual. It doesn’t help that long-range forecasts to this point have been pointing towards a wet scenario and major temperature swings. Now that the first half of the…
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The Mid-South is in the midst of a fairly active period weather-wise. Strengthening low pressure that originated in the western Gulf of Mexico yesterday is moving just to the east of the metro area this morning and will quickly depart the area by this evening, taking the rain and clouds with it. Another low pressure…
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Our recent bout of cold weather has ended and high pressure positioned just to our east is allowing warmer air from the south to blanket the region this week. We will enjoy afternoon temperatures in the 70s through Friday with a few clouds but no rain. Overnight lows are also moderating, from the sub-freezing mark…
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With a couple of days of cool and damp weather nearly behind us and our first blast of cold late autumn-like air just around the corner, it is definitely feeling like fall! I don’t think too many people are complaining about the recent rain considering the lack of it the past couple of months. It…
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Two weather systems will play a role in the week’s weather. For the next 24 hours or so, however, pleasant fall high pressure dominates and will make for a nice night for trick-or-treaters. Clear skies and light wind will allow temperatures to fall into the 60s this evening, so it won’t be very cold for…
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After a nice rain yesterday (most areas received anywhere from 0.50″-2.00″ of rain Sunday), another round of storms will be knocking on our doorstep early Tuesday. A very strong low pressure system will explode over the Northern Plains tonight (see the first map above, valid at 7am Tuesday). That low will quickly usher through a…
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Sometimes it gets tiring to write about the same topic over and over again, but in this case it bears repeating as a drought record went into the books this week. The map above of this week’s Drought Monitor is the result of the lack of rain for the past 2 months. As of today,…
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Forecast Discussion Yet another fall cold front is poised to barrel through the Mid-South this afternoon. Once again, like Thursday, it will be a dry front and will bring only some clouds late today and this evening, as well as gusty north wind and quickly falling temperatures. The high today should rise to near 80…
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After much delay (and frequent whining and complaining by Mid-Southerners), it appears that summer weather may finally come to an end later today with the passage of our first autumn cold front. It will be a welcome change after yet another stretch of record high temperatures this week. In fact, the high temperature of 100…
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Another warm, though not particularly hot, week is ahead for Mid-Southerners with continuing dry conditions for the most part, which will exacerbate a developing drought scenario. The graphic above shows the abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions that exist across Shelby and Tipton Counties. The good news is that humidity will continue to be low,…
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Labor Day weekend weather turned out to be gorgeous across the Mid-South, particularly Saturday and Sunday, as cool and dry high pressure dominated the region. Dewpoints (a measure of humidity) dropped to their lowest levels since spring, making temperatures in the 80s feel even better. The low dewpoints also contributed to morning lows in the…
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The Mid-South summer of 2010 will likely be remembered (after the flooding rains of early May) for the intense and prolonged heat and humidity. The vast majority of the comments and questions I get from folks run along the lines of “when is this heat/humidity going away?” This post will hopefully answer two questions for…
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A cold front will move through the Memphis metro area this evening and stall across north Mississippi, bringing an end to the near-100 degree temperatures and Excessive Heat Warnings of the past week. It will also help to lower humidity levels a little by Monday, which was the second factor (besides the heat) contributing to…
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It’s been another long, hot spell of summer weather in the Mid-South with a week gone by since the last significant widespread rains again. The weather pattern we can thank for that is the Bermuda High, which has been parked over the southeast U.S. for much of the summer, but has been particularly strong the…
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The ridge of high pressure that has maintained a stranglehold on the Mid-South, bringing hot and humid conditions is weakening ever so slightly today, allowing a cold front to approach, but likely not pass through, the region. The additional dynamics (however weak) provided by the front will allow scattered thunderstorms to form this afternoon and…
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The unofficial start of summer occurs on Memorial Day weekend, however the meteorological start of summer IS today as we in the weather business define summer for climate records as June-August. Though the summer solstice, and official start of summer, are still 3 weeks away, looking at the coming week’s forecast would indicate otherwise! Today’s…
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I know there are very few complaints that the forecasted rain and thunderstorms (Flash Flood Watches/Severe Thunderstorm Watches) didn’t materialize yesterday and overnight after record flooding earlier in the month that many are still recovering from. However, you still may be curious about how all the forecasters seemingly missed the boat on this one (pardon…
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One thing that can be said about the weather the past couple of weeks – persistence forecasting doesn’t work! It seems like every few days another shift is taking place in the atmosphere, taking us from one extreme to the other – from severe weather, to flooding, to 90 degrees and humid, to cloudy, cool,…
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After an extraordinary weekend of severe weather, it’s time to start looking forward a little bit. Typically in Memphis, we start seeing “summer-like” conditions during May. Well, May arrived and the first taste of summer may be early to arrive. Following the passage of an upper-level trough that brought the severe weather this weekend, an…
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