Category: forecast discussion
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April showers may bring May flowers, but April severe thunderstorms could bring May insurance claims! Yet another potent weather system will move through the Mid-South Thursday night and Friday, following previous systems the past two Mondays, particularly on April 4 when 70,000+ MLGW customers lost power due to damaging straight line wind. While we enjoy…
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The Mid-South is positioned to see two rounds of rain and thunderstorms on Saturday as a stationary/cold front sits across southern Arkansas and central Mississippi (moving slowly north) and two disturbances will move swiftly along the front tonight and again on Saturday afternoon and evening. The first round of storms will develop right here in…
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Earlier in the week, in a post about the weather pattern for the first week of spring, I talked about what could only be described at that time as a “murky situation” in the extended forecast. It’s 3 days later and I am realizing more why it was murky… because it is. Friday through Tuesday will not…
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Spring officially begins at 6:21pm CDT today (Sunday, March 20). Mid-Southerners have already had a very nice taste of spring the past few days with temperatures more typical of mid to late-May than mid-March. In fact, we will end up within a degree or two of the record high of 84 for today. So how…
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What a fabulous early spring weekend the Mid-South enjoyed! Saturday was near perfect, if it weren’t for all the pollen and junk floating around in the air! Temps reached the lower to mid 70s with abundant sunshine. Sunday, though cloudy, was still nice with highs in the upper 60s as the showers held off until…
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Clouds have been hanging tough across the Mid-South in the wake of a cold front that moved through Saturday morning. The clouds are not breaking up thanks to moisture trapped beneath a low-level inversion (increasing temperatures with height) and a cool northeasterly breeze. (See the atmospheric sounding, or vertical slice, below.) 3/6/11, 3pm, Memphis model…
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The National Weather Service has posted Flash Flood Watches for the entire Mid-South as a slow-moving frontal system approaches the region from Arkansas and low pressure moves along the front. This afternoon, the front resides over central OK but will move slowly east across Arkansas overnight before reaching the Memphis area around 10am Saturday. Strong…
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After a few days of nice weather, with crisp mornings and warm afternoons, the next weather system will be making it’s way into the Mid-South Friday and Saturday. Showers and a few thunderstorms will be likely Friday as south wind brings in ample moisture from the Gulf of Mexico ahead of a cold front. High…
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Quick update on the situation this morning… Scattered showers and thunderstorms are forming and moving northeast across AR early this morning, with some crossing the Mississippi River and other forming pretty quickly over west TN at 4:45am. Severe limits have not been crossed by most of the storms, but they are moving into an area…
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Latest severe weather risk outlook for tonight from the NWS/Storm Prediction Center It’s amazing how similar tonight and last Thursday night’s severe weather episodes seem to be, outside of the difference in timing of the event. Thursday, I was expecting scattered severe storms to fire up in the mid to late afternoon and a squall…
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As things have started to settle down from Thursday night’s severe weather episode and most folks power is now restored, I thought it necessary to at least start talking about the next potential severe weather event to impact the Mid-South. We experienced a very cool and cloudy day today with high temperatures about 30 degrees…
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A week ago, the Mid-South was just beginning a warm-up that would finally end a streak of cold and snowy weather that brought nearly 10″ of powder/slush/ice since the first of the year. That pattern shift resulted in a very warm “spring-like” period this past week with temps in the 60s to lower 70s as…
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The 24-hour news and weather channels are all abuzz about the “Groundhog’s Day Storm” of 2011, which could adversely impact up to 100 million people, according to Accuweather. Truth be told, it’s more than just a Groundhog’s Day storm. This monster system will impact locations across the Plains tomorrow with snow, while ice accumulation will…
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It’s included in the climate overview of Memphis on MemphisWeather.net: “If you don’t like the weather, stick around, it’ll change.” That adage is coming true once again. After three winter weather events in 16 days between January 9-25, Mid-Southerners are looking forward to temperatures in the 60s on Saturday – what I call a “bonus day”…
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One thing is for certain regarding the winter weather potential tomorrow versus the storm last week — it won’t compare in terms of snow amounts, duration, or degree of cold air behind the front. Until earlier today, the primary two computer models that provide detailed information beyond 24 hours have not agreed well. One (the…
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Now that the last of the well-built snowmen from last week are dwindling away as temperatures reach the 40s and rain washes away their remnants, it’s time to talk about the next chance of snow, right?? As I understand, that’s what is on people’s minds who have checked out the extended forecast. So we’ll dive…
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If a picture is worth a thousand words, then this may end up being a novel, but I think it’s better to snow than to tell. Plus, the graphics get more interesting as we draw closer to the winter weather event that will move into the region Sunday. First, not a lot has changed since…
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As promised earlier today, it’s time to start looking more closely at the threat of snow in the extended forecast. Since we are still 3-5 days out from this potential event, I’ll stay fairly high level. Future forecasts and discussions will refine the threat further. The scenario for Sunday and early Monday is a fairly…
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As of mid-afternoon, radar trends and atmospheric analysis indicate the cold front moving across Arkansas with a narrow band of thunderstorms over northeast Arkansas, a few briefly touching severe limits. Meanwhile, to the south, an upper-level disturbance has sparked an area of strong to severe thunderstorms over Louisiana, moving into Mississippi. These storms are expected…
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It’s been a cold December f0r the Mid-South with an average temperature of 39.1 degrees at Memphis International Airport, or nearly 5 degrees below “normal,” and 19 days with lows at or below freezing. The good thing about the cold weather is that it was in place as low pressure moved by to our south…
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