Category: forecast discussion
-
Only a few changes since our post last evening with respect to the developing winter weather scenario that will play out in the next 24 hours across the Mid-South. Newer model data has arrived and is continuing a similar solution to yesterday with the potential for a band of moderate snow to setup in the…
Read more
-
The Mid-South is buzzing about the possibility of snow tonight and again Tuesday night. Several have asked for my opinion, or what I think of “this forecast” and “that forecast.” So here it is! DISCLAIMER: So everyone knows where I am coming from, this is the stance I am taking with regards to this event…
Read more
-
It seems much too early in the year to be discussing a real threat of snow in the forecast (as opposed to wish-casting a storm in the model output 2 weeks out). But it appears Mother Nature wants us Mid-South meteorologists to fine-tune our winter forecast skills early this year as she is throwing a…
Read more
-
Clouds have been on the increase this Saturday with moisture levels on the rise under breezy southerly wind. Moisture is increasing ahead a cold front moving southeast out of the Central Plains states, headed for the Mid-South. The front will approach the region Sunday, but like we saw with our previous cold front earlier in…
Read more
-
It’s becoming a bit of a broken record by this point, but the cycle of ups and downs that have highlighted November’s weather thus far will not be letting up in the week ahead. After our last bout of rain brought some impressive totals, and much needed as well, to the region – from 1…
Read more
-
If there’s one word to describe this weekend’s weather, it’s undoubtedly windy! Just days after experiencing our first widespread freeze of the fall, southerly winds have made their return to the Mid-South and in a very strong fashion. Winds have frequently been sustained between 20 and 30 mph, with gusts near 40 mph, and a…
Read more
-
As is typical for fall, the last few weeks have featured their share of “ups and downs” in weather conditions over the Mid-South region, as several cold fronts have brought rain, followed by cooler weather, then the return of mild conditions ahead of the next front. This week promises another cycle of the same, with…
Read more
-
After a few days of very pleasant fall weather, a potent low pressure system will escort a cold front through the Mid-South early Thursday. There will be a good chance of rain between midnight and noon Thursday with this system, but the biggest change will be a quick blast of cold air. After a few…
Read more
-
As I type, clouds are breaking apart and moving east in the wake of the cold front that moved through Thursday morning and an upper-level system that trailed it overnight last night. Rain has come to an end, with between 1/4-1/2″ across west TN and east AR and 3/4-1″ over northwest MS. North Mississippi received…
Read more
-
Last week, a strong cold front came through, bringing post-frontal rain showers and a blast of cold air that dropped temperatures to their lowest level of the fall and widespread frost outside the city limits. This week, another autumn cold front arrives in a similar fashion. Once again, we’ll see scattered showers ahead of the…
Read more
-
The strong cold front that has been well advertised the last several days made its arrival on Tuesday morning, and its effects did not disappoint! Along with a day of showers, that brought mostly light rainfall amounts, by far the biggest change behind it was the dramatic drop in temperatures. After a near-record high of…
Read more
-
After our first rainfall in 16 days occurred this past Wednesday, the weather pattern over the Mid-South has returned to the dry and mild regime we’ve seen much of the last couple of weeks. However, a significant pattern change will be evolving over the region and much of the nation in the next few days…
Read more
-
As I was looking over the mid-range model data today, I saw reinforcing evidence of something I had been watching for a couple of days. In fact, when I saw it, I tweeted about it. Models are consistent in predicting a major blast of fall weather next week! The map below shows the GFS model forecast…
Read more
-
It’s been a fantastic run of weather for the past couple of weeks, where even clouds have been tough to find on most days! With few to no clouds, rain has not been a concern either. In fact, the last measurable rainfall most of the Mid-South saw was on September 25. So, many areas are…
Read more
-
Looking at the upper level weather maps this morning, the pattern that has controlled our weather for the past several days is still in firm control of our weather. The upper level pattern we are under the influence of is termed an omega block. The term comes from the fact that the pattern represents the…
Read more
-
After dealing with a bout of severe weather this past Sunday, this week has quickly turned around to become a nice first week of Fall, even as temperatures return to the lower and mid 80s, a bit above the seasonal average for late September. Another cold front is on the approach, however, which will take…
Read more
-
It’s been a while since the Mid-South was positioned in a Slight Risk of severe weather by the Storm Prediction Center. However, that is exactly what we find ourselves dealing with on Sunday. An unseasonably strong upper-level low pressure system is retrograding (moving east to west) from the western Great Lakes towards the Corn Belt…
Read more
-
It was about as perfect of a start to fall as you could want it across the Mid-South! Temperatures today have been in the 70s with crystal clear sunny skies after the passing cold front last night that brought just a few showers, with trace to very light rainfall amounts at most in the metro…
Read more
-
This week has started on a wet note, with showers and thunderstorms occurring for much of the first half of Monday, associated with a cold front now moving through the region. Many locations in the metro area have seen more than an inch of rainfall in the last 24 hours. Just to our north, especially…
Read more
-
After a nearly week-long stretch of beautiful fall-like weather and temperatures well below normal, summer has made its presence felt once again across the Mid-South, with temperatures returning back to the 90-degree level Monday for the first time since September 3. Fortunately, our next cold front is not far off in the future, which will…
Read more
