Category: forecast discussion
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For a couple of days, we have been monitoring the potential for winter weather with our next system arriving this weekend. The setup is a fairly decent one for winter weather in the Mid-South – low pressure passing by to our south and an upper-level disturbance moving in on it’s heels, just as cold air…
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For those who have followed along with our blog posts the past couple of days, thank you! If you have read them, you know the models had been fairly consistent up to this point with tomorrow’s potential winter weather scenario, with a couple of exceptions in the details. Today, I bring you good news (for…
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As advertised, an Arctic blast arrived overnight, bringing us what will likely be the coldest day of the winter so far with temperatures topping out in the mid 30s. Combining a north wind gusting up to 25+ mph with those temperatures and wind chills are staying in the teens to lower 20s all day! Many…
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In Memphis, as in many other “southern” cities, the word snow can cause all sort of reactions – from jubilation to trepidation. I believe we’ll hear them all this weekend as the word is spreading that we could finally see some winter in the Mid-South (well, at least the first “winter” since early December when…
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It’s a word we haven’t had to use too much this winter, but yes, cold weather is making a comeback to the Mid-South! We had a cool day today as afternoon clouds and a northerly breeze kept temperatures in the 40s, but a true Arctic airmass is expected to move into the Mid-South behind a…
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As January comes to a close Tuesday, it’s been a month that’s featured very little winter weather in the Mid-South and more days you’d expect to find in March and April! The same was true today as temperatures soared back into the 60s following a brief cool down over the weekend. With February’s arrival, very…
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Just a quick post as some people may be taking note of severe weather (including the risk of tornadoes) to our southwest over eastern TX and LA this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch for much of Louisiana, extreme western Mississippi, and extreme southern Arkansas as a squall line moves into the…
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After Sunday night’s severe weather event (we’ll have a recap soon here on the MWN Blog), the weather in the metro area has turned much quieter over the last 48 hours. However, our next weather maker is beginning to organize to our southwest, and will begin making its impact felt tonight. As an upper level…
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A quick update on how the weekend weather is shaping up… Fortunately, and not too far removed from how we predicted, strong to marginal severe thunderstorms avoided the metro area last evening, though there were some reports of hazardous conditions over northeast MS after midnight last night. The responsible cold front has moved well to…
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The Storm Prediction Center has just placed the metro area on the far western edge of a slight risk for severe thunderstorms for tonight (see image below).While “garden-variety” thunderstorms have been in the MWN Forecast for tonight, this represents a minor increase in the chance that some of these storms could be strong. A warm…
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A recent cold spell, punctuated by scattered snow showers earlier in the week, is being pushed into our collective memory bank by a return to mild conditions during the day this weekend and chilly morning lows. It will likely be totally forgotten by tomorrow afternoon as temperatures approach a mark 15 degrees above normal and…
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Today’s weather pattern is akin to taking a one-stop flight without having to change planes – and we’re sitting at the layover airport! The first mildly bumpy leg of the flight occurred last night as low pressure moved directly overhead and was preceded by widespread rain and some thunderstorms during the late afternoon and evening…
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Parts of the Mid-South are in line to possibly receive their first severe weather of 2012, and the first round in a few months. The possible severe weather will be the result of a fairly potent low pressure system that will move almost directly over Memphis around midnight tonight (see graphic below). Ahead of the…
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With the first week of 2012 underway, a temperature roller coaster has been the highlight in Mid-South weather so far. An arctic front brought frigid temperatures to the area with readings dipping into the teens in suburbs and outlying areas on Tuesday morning, but the Mid-South has quickly settled back into a milder pattern as…
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Merry Christmas! Well, it’s not snow, but it is a couple of rain chances that we’ll deal with over the next 60 hours or so. The responsibility for the rain chances falls squarely on an upper level low pressure system currently centered over far western TX (see the image below). The first round of rainfall…
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In our last blog post on Sunday, we noted computer models were having a very tough time figuring out the weather pattern over the Mid-South for the latter part of the week, including Christmas weekend, and that the forecast was subject to change as the week progressed. Now, 72 hours later, models have come into…
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Since our last early-season snow event on December 7th, the weather pattern over the Mid-South has transitioned into a much milder one, with occasional rain chances and brief cool-downs. As we head into the upcoming week, leading into Christmas, it appears this pattern will continue to hold. So does that mean no White Christmas for…
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After a period of dry and cool weather (cold in fact), we’re undergoing another shift in the upper-level pattern that will bring milder and likely wetter conditions for the next several days. Luckily, it appears we get to enjoy some of the “warmer” before the “wetter” moves in! High pressure is shifting to our east,…
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UPDATED AT 8:35PM – CHANGES IN RED….. EP Less than a week removed from one of the most anticipated early-season snow events in recent Mid-South history and we’re looking at yet another chance of the white stuff on Wednesday. The hype is definitely muted versus the last storm, and for good reason. Though the upper-level…
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After our first snow of the season earlier this week, the weather over the Mid-South has rebounded nicely with temperatures back in the 60s this Friday and snow a rather distant memory. However, the nice weather won’t be sticking around much longer as yet another cold front will be on the approach this weekend. Unfortunately,…
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