Category: hail

Sunday Update on Severe Weather Potential Later Today #memstorm

April 19, 2015

–

Erik Proseus

–

damaging wind, forecast discussion, hail, severe thunderstorms

With one weather-maker in the form of low pressure and a trough having departed this morning, we now focus our eyes to the west where our next chance of rain will arrive from later today. Temperatures should easily make it to the mid 70’s with help from peaks of sunshine. That energy will help fuel…
Read more
Severe weather likely Sunday-Monday – latest information from MWN

April 26, 2014

–

Erik Proseus

–

damaging wind, forecast discussion, hail, severe thunderstorms, tornado

A multi-day severe weather event remains on track and appears likely at this time. If you read the blog yesterday and follow us on social media, you are aware that the Mid-South and Lower Mississippi Valley are facing what could be the most significant severe weather event(s) since spring 2011. (NOTE that I am not…
Read more
Enhanced risk of severe storms later today

June 5, 2013

–

Erik Proseus

–

damaging wind, hail, severe thunderstorms

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman, OK has placed the entire region in a Slight Risk for severe weather today. At 10:45am, a weakening convective system is moving across northern AR and southern MO, driven by an upper-level disturbance ahead of a cold front. Storms to our east are associated with a separate disturbance and…
Read more
St. Patty’s Day storms possible in the metro

March 17, 2013

–

Erik Proseus

–

damaging wind, forecast discussion, hail

Warm spring days to end the week have given way to a frontal boundary that has draped itself across the Memphis metro today. While northern areas of the metro (Tipton County) are still sitting in the 40s at 2pm, north MS is nearing 70 degrees! 1pm temperatures across the metro as a stationary front lingers…
Read more
Recap of today’s thunderstorms and a pleasant pattern ahead!

April 5, 2012

–

Erik Proseus

–

forecast discussion, hail, holiday, thunderstorms

We began the day in a Slight Risk area for the possibility of some severe weather thanks to a potent upper-level low pressure system that was traverse the metro this afternoon. During this time of year, with some heating ahead of one of these lows, it is possible to get large hail in any thunderstorms…
Read more
“See Text” – what text? Thunderstorm discussions on marginal days

February 1, 2012

–

Erik Proseus

–

damaging wind, education, hail, severe thunderstorms, severe weather

UPDATE 2 (2:30pm): The Slight Risk area has been expanded and now includes the Memphis metro area (see map below). The main threat is large hail through about 8pm. For more info, click here. Updated slight risk issued at 2pm by the Storm Prediction Center. UPDATE (10:30am): A Slight Risk area has been added for Arkansas,…
Read more
First potential severe weather episode of 2012

January 10, 2012

–

Erik Proseus

–

forecast discussion, hail, severe thunderstorms

Parts of the Mid-South are in line to possibly receive their first severe weather of 2012, and the first round in a few months. The possible severe weather will be the result of a fairly potent low pressure system that will move almost directly over Memphis around midnight tonight (see graphic below). Ahead of the…
Read more
More borderline severe weather possible tonight, and results of a Shelby Co. damage survey from last night

April 20, 2011

–

Erik Proseus

–

hail, severe weather, storm reports

More strong thunderstorms will likely affect portions of the Memphis metro area this evening as a disturbance moves east across AR along a stationary front to our south. The front is the remnants of the cold front that moved through overnight, bringing severe straight-line wind, some hail, and tornado warnings to the area. The primary…
Read more
Anatomy of a hail storm – Gallaway, TN – 3/26/11

March 26, 2011

–

Erik Proseus

–

education, hail, radar

Last night, a severe thunderstorm rumbled through northern Shelby and Fayette Counties between 4-5am. Fortunately, I was able to grab some screenshots of cross-sectional radar data to go along with a picture sent to me by a Twitter follower in Gallaway, TN (extreme northwest Fayette County, near I-40) that will allow me to demonstrate some…
Read more
Extreme weather video and a note on hurricane season

May 21, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

hail, hurricane, tornado, tropical, video

I thought I’d share a couple of videos of extreme weather with you today. First up, check out this video from KMBC’s news chopper as a weak tornado touches down near Sedalia in central MO (east of KC). Thanks to Eric Sorensen, whose weather blog for NBC-13 in Rockford, IL, brought it to my attention.…
Read more
Severe weather increasingly likely on Thursday

May 18, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

damaging wind, flash flood, hail, severe weather, tornado

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN442 PM CDT TUE MAY 18 2010 …SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK APPEARS INCREASINGLY LIKELY ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT……FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY NIGHT… WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL BUILD INTO THE MID-SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEHIND A NORTHWARD MOVING WARM FRONT. STRONG TO SEVERE…
Read more
Public Severe Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center

May 1, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

damaging wind, hail, severe weather, tornado

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1152 AM CDT SAT MAY 01 2010 …SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE ARKALTEX REGION NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS AR INTO THE WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT… THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG…LONG-TRACK TORNADOES…
Read more
Upgraded severe weather risk for the metro area tonight

April 30, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

damaging wind, hail, severe weather, tornado

Supercell thunderstorms, many producing tornadoes and some of which could be long-track, are lining up over western and central AR at the time of this writing (8:15pm). The graphics above show the upgraded risk area as of 8:00pm tonight. Much of AR has been raised to a High Risk of severe weather with long-track significant…
Read more
Update on severe weather potential over the next 48 hours

April 22, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

damaging wind, flash flood, hail, severe thunderstorms, tornado

A potentially significant severe weather outbreak is setting up for the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Tennessee Valley, including the Mid-South. A combination of factors, including extreme wind shear, abundant moisture, and necessary atmospheric lifting will all come together to create ideal conditions for the development of severe weather across the Mid-South. The event will…
Read more
Slight risk of severe storms Thursday

March 25, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

hail, severe thunderstorms

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across the Memphis metro area later today as a spring low pressure system moves just north of the region. The time of greatest threat for severe thunderstorms, some of which could contain large hail or damaging thunderstorm wind, is between 10am and 4pm in the metro area,…
Read more
Slight risk of severe weather tonight

March 10, 2010

–

Erik Proseus

–

hail, severe thunderstorms, tornado, wind

Severe Weather Outlook Tornado probability Hail Probability Damaging Wind Probability A severe weather threat exists for the entire region beginning late this afternoon and continuing tonight. The graphics above outline the slight risk area and depict the probability of (top to bottom) tornadoes, large hail, and damaging wind within 25 miles of any point. Click…
Read more
Severe hail criteria changing in January 2010

December 7, 2009

–

Erik Proseus

–

hail, severe thunderstorms

How big does hail have to be to be considered “severe?” Well, the official definition that most people know well will be changing on January 5, 2010 nationwide. Following a public comment period and operational testing in the Central and Western Regions of the National Weather Service (NWS), the NWS will officially raise the criteria…
Read more