Category: forecast discussion
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How we got here… Before we dig into the forecast, a quick recap of June. Everything was going along just dandy for the first 10 days or so of the month – near average temperatures and a few rainmakers. Then, the midsummer heat dome developed… and basically never left. The month ended as the 7th…
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Recap of Northwest Flow Week The past week or so has seen the Mid-South region in a pattern frequently referred to as “northwest flow,” which means that the upper level wind flows from northwest to southeast across the area. There are two main features of northwest flow in our area, and they are related: Storm…
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We’re finally putting this week’s wet weather in the rearview mirror as the unofficial start of summer – Memorial Day weekend – arrives. In fact, the three-day weekend looks fabulous with sunny skies, warm but not overly hot temperatures, and acceptable humidity levels. The dry spell that starts today continues for nearly a week as…
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Another warm weekend with near record-breaking temperatures, but we finally get a break next week! After an especially warm first three weeks of the month, we finally see some cooler temperatures behind this weekend’s showers. Starting on Sunday and leading into most of next week, we’ll see temperatures right around average, with some days even…
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Tonight you get a series of “quick-hitters” on the MWN Blog. I’ve got three topics for you: Severe weather potential on Thursday into Thursday night Nice spring weather Friday and Saturday Our first early-summer heat wave arrives to start the week Severe weather potential Thursday We’ve been watching this event for a few days and…
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It’s back!! After a couple years hiatus due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Beale Street Music Fest is back at full volume, albeit at a new location (temporarily) while Tom Lee Park receives a major renovation. Liberty Park at the Fairgrounds is the new location, with stages and vendors setup on Tiger Lane and the area…
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As we sit right now, on April 24, and despite a few recent days in the mid 80s, April has averaged cooler than normal and also wetter than typical. The trend looks to continue into the last week of the month. And since, Memphis in Mud May officially kicks off in April this year (next…
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Overall, it appears most of the area made it through Wednesday’s Level 4 severe weather risk pretty well, thank goodness! Outside of a funnel cloud over West Memphis, stealthily captured on video from a vantage point on Mud Island by Jordan Booth, no there were no tornado sightings or damage locally. @memphisweather1 looking across to…
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Spring has definitely sprung across the region, though with a few bumps along the way (like Friday’s high of 50° that led into a light frost Saturday morning), but now there is no doubt we are in “The Pollening” (can I get an AMEN from those who park outside??)! With spring comes the potential for…
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The springtime weather roller-coaster continues on as we head out of a dry but cool weekend and towards the end of March and beginning of April. While March came in like a lamb, it may be going out like a lion, as the potential for severe storms exists on Wednesday. Let’s take it day by…
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Equinox vs. Equilux: a primer We’ve experienced #FakeSpring (maybe a couple times), “Fool’s Spring,” “Spring of Deception,” and even meteorological spring over the past month or so. But as of 10:33am Sunday, REAL spring arrives! Astronomical spring, a.k.a. the vernal equinox, marks the time when the sun passes directly over the equator heading north, resulting…
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UPDATED – 3/10/2022, 7:00PM The snow forecast remains on track for Friday evening and as discussed in last night’s post seen below. I’ll skip the setup, which is discussed a bit more in the post Wednesday night and cut right to the chase. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the entire metro from…
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What a week (in a great way)! High temperatures the past four days have looked more like April than March – 71, 77, 80, 79 – and we’re on track for another day in the upper 70s today despite the arrival of high clouds ahead of our next cold front. Sunshine and warm high pressure…
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The calendar has turned to March and the start of meteorological spring (which was March 1, a convenient day for weather peeps to divide the calendar for calculation purposes) is clearly apparent as a cold end to February (remember than thunder-sleet last week?) quickly melted away under the warm sunshine! We’ve got more of this…
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A couple of weeks ago, it was an ice storm causing meteorological chaos across the metro. This past week we dealt with the spring version of inclement weather – strong to severe thunderstorms – though fortunately the tornado threat did not materialize in our area. A chilly post-frontal Friday has led into improving conditions this…
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I recorded a video discussion this evening covering the inclement weather expected over the next 48 hours. That video is below, along with a few of the pertinent slides. Prepare for wind gusts to 30 mph and dry conditions on Wednesday, then a rainy Thursday with the potential for a few severe storms Thursday (mainly…
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Recap of Ice Storm 2022 Wow, what a storm! Unfortunately, the forecasts leading up to Thursday’s ice storm proved to be fairly accurate. Nearly 2″ of liquid fell from the sky and much of that occurred with temperatures at or below 32 degrees, making it “freezing rain.” Forecast details included that much of it would…
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Happy Groundhog Day… here we go again! Another very challenging forecast for winter weather, this time dealing with ice instead of snow or a mix. Will handle this blog as a bit of a Q & A. The overall scenario has been laid out already and I assume most are familiar, but a quick refresher…
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This 13 minute video was recorded at 7pm Tuesday and covers what you need to know ahead of Thursday’s winter storm! Images and slides from the video are below. Further updates will be available on our social media channels throughout the next couple days. Winter Storm Headlines as of 6pm Wednesday NAM3 model forecast radar…
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As the Memphis area goes on 10 days since our last precipitation, a full-blown blizzard / Nor’Easter / “Bomb Cyclone” (yes, that is a real term, not media-derived hype) is ravaging much of coastal New England from New York City to Maine. Snow covered the sand as far south as the beaches of South Carolina…
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