Category: forecast discussion
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Good Sunday evening! Hope you are holding out well after Friday’s cold front, which ushered in another taste of winter before we transition into warmer temperatures this week. In this blog, we’ll be recapping this past interesting weekend and then summarize what to expect for the upcoming week (spoiler: a nice, warmer trend is in…
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Happy wet Sunday! Last week proved to be a nice change of pace with average to above normal temperatures and drier weather, which was especially welcome after the mid-to-late active January weeks! The beginning of this week appears to be a similar, calmer story despite what last night and today would suggest. A frontal boundary…
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Happy cold, but optimistic Sunday! After a wintry week with snow, ice, and re-freezing roads, we’re looking ahead at a sort-of “recovery” week on both the road and drought aspects. We’ve had a cold start today, but we’re still on an upward path toward milder temperatures. Along that path, though, will be a very wet…
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Quick blog this evening… We made it through the MLK winter storm with a pretty solid 4-6″ thick blanket over the area (some more, some less). The sunshine returned today and started to work its magic on the major streets, but those side streets are still a mess. Fortunately not a sheet of ice, so…
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I’ve written many a blog post ahead of winter storms over the years. The format that seems to work best is Q&A style, because I know you have questions. So herein I will try and provide answers – some to the point, some with more detail. Keep in mind this is AS OF SATURDAY MORNING.…
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December warmth is long gone now and Mother Nature is reminding us it is indeed the season of winter. We’re also going to start making a dent in the rainfall deficit of the past few months in the coming week or so. I sent the post below on social media yesterday; it’s what we in…
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As fall officially turns to winter, temperatures are (of course!) warming as we head into a long Christmas weekend. I think we’ll take that if the other option is what we had last year – frozen pipes and rolling blackouts! The trade-off is going to be rainy conditions off and on through the weekend. Let’s…
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As we approach another busy holiday season weekend, the threat of rain and thunderstorms is threatening to put a damper on at least half of it. The fact that there is some potential for strong to severe storms reminds us that it is not just the holiday season, but also still secondary severe weather season…
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A generally cool and dry pattern changes for a few days as we head to the end of November and into the last month of 2023. A storm system exiting the Rockies and heading across the southern Plains and into the Deep South will bring us rainfall and perhaps a few thunderstorms in the next…
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The lack of soaking rain in the past three months has resulted in quite the drought, measuring “extreme” in parts of the metro. But typically November can be counted on to bring some relief from dry fall conditions, and the next system on Monday should do just that. A comparison of the Drought Index for…
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According to a recent poll we conducted on X, nearly 70% of you are ready for late summer warmth to end and “deep fall” to begin. Well, your wish is my command! But first, let’s try and get a little drought relief after suffering through less than two inches of rain since September 1. Unfortunately,…
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We’re almost there! This recent run of hot weather, while not record-breaking by official measures, certainly has been unwelcome! Our typical last 90-degree day for the summer is September 23. Seems we’ve blown right past that! I fully expect that today was the last day of 90 degrees for 2023. Fortunately, typical summertime humidity levels…
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A pretty wild and stormy summer has transitioned to much drier conditions of late, with temperatures generally near to slightly below average over the past month or so. Comparing the departure from normal precipitation for the past 90 days (in the first image below) to the past 30 days (second image) really shows how the…
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After a stint of temperatures near or below average, we’ve turned a corner as we near the end of July with a stretch of highs in the mid to upper 90s is on its way to the Mid-South this weekend and next week. Grab your favorite frozen treat and let’s dive into the forecast! Friday…
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The early June weather pattern over the United Stated is a bit unusual – an “omega block” has set up in the upper levels of the atmosphere. This happens when the pattern becomes stagnant as a large ridge of high pressure sets up between two low pressure areas on either side of it. You can…
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The times they are a changin’! Here’s a look at the temperatures anomalies (departure from average) for the past 10 days: Temperature anomaly for the period April 22-May 21, 2023 (CDAS data via WxBell) You’ll notice the massive area of cold weather (relative to normal) that has encompassed the central and eastern U.S. Locally, it…
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A cloudy and cool Easter weekend gave way into a pleasant early week for the Memphis Metro. As the weekend approaches, we prepare for our next round of rain and the possibility of severe weather that could disrupt some Saturday evening plans. Thursday A low pressure system is currently sitting over southern Mississippi, this will…
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After severe storms have battered the Southeast for the past two weeks, we unfortunately have another severe risk this week. Today, we will warm up into the mid-80s with mostly cloudy skies as the warm sector takes over. The severe threat today clips the metro, but will stay to the northwest mostly, with our threat…
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One week ago – last Thursday – we were preparing for a Friday night special, a Moderate Risk zone that extended from Memphis into Mississippi. While Memphis escaped the worst of that system, many in north Mississippi cannot say the same. It’s Thursday again, and like last week, another severe weather event is lining up…
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A severe weather outbreak is expected late this afternoon and evening across the Lower Mississippi Valley. The Memphis metro is on the northern edge of where the strongest storms will be possible. This blog post will go into the details, and is effective as of 11:30am Friday. Note that the severe weather outlook graphic (embedded…
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