Category: forecast


  • Summertime pattern shapes up over the Mid-South

    It’s been a while since I posted my own thoughts, so it’s probably time. I use this blog to not only write about my opinions on weather and other topics, but pass along information that I think may interest my readers. Lately, I’ve been in “passing along” mode, so today it’s a forecast discussion. However,…

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  • The heat is ON!

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    Welcome to the first day of meteorological summer, defined by the weather community as the period June-July-August.  Yesterday was officially the first 90 degree day in Memphis, though my station on Bartlett has hit it 3 times in the past 5 days, with a high of 92 yesterday!  We’re looking for another 1-2 degrees of…

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  • Memorial Day weekend could be a wet one

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    With the holiday weekend upon us, you’re probably wondering if those outdoor activities will be rained out.  Unfortunately, the overall news is not that good, though the whole weekend will not be a washout.  After a beautiful week dominated by high pressure, we can thank the low pressure system over the Gulf of Mexico that…

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  • Weekend outlook and a peek at the week ahead

    A strong late spring cold front is moving through the region today and has sparked thunderstorms, mainly to the east of the Memphis metro area over the past hour.  Some scattered showers trail the front over northeast AR.  For the rest of today, I think the thunderstorm chances for the metro are slim, though a…

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  • Forecast for the Memphis in May BBQ Cooking Contest

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    A cold front will work it’s way into the Mid-South today. Ahead of the front, remnants from last night’s severe weather have moved into the metro region early this morning, bringing a fairly strong gust front, followed by a broken line of t’storms and an area of rain and embedded thunder trailing the line. Expect…

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  • Recap of Wednesday AM storms (5/6/09)

    Storm aftermath The image above from MWN StormView Radar was snapped during the height of the storms overnight last night (early Wednesday, 3:14am).  The northern end of a line of storms associated with a mesoscale convective complex (MCS) grazed southern Shelby County between 2:30-3:30am.  About 30-40 miles south of the MS-TN line, the NWS was…

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  • Thunderstorms, some possibly severe, throughout the weekend

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    The Storm Prediction Center has placed the Memphis metro area under a SLIGHT RISK of severe weather all the way through Monday morning. I expect most thunderstorms to be diurnally-driven, which means they will occur during maximum heating – afternoon and evening hours – today and tomorrow, as a cold front sags south and stall…

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  • Rain on Beale Street Music Festival?

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    That seems to be the hot question right now! “I have tickets to Music Fest. Is it gonna rain?” There are two answers to this question: 1) “It’s Music Fest. When have you ever known it NOT to rain!” and 2) “There’s a 50/50 chance.” Nobody seems to like either answer, but unfortunately, they may…

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  • Rain chances return to the Mid-South

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    After a stretch of lower to mid 80s for 5 days in a row, we’ll get one more today, but the weather pattern will begin to change as we say goodbye to abundant sunshine, gusty wind, and very warm temperatures, and spring showers and thunderstorms take over. It could turn out to be a pretty…

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  • A transitional weather pattern

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    . The Mid-South will be transitioning between weather pattern in the upper levels this week that will definitely be noticed down here on the ground as well! Coming out of a stormy pattern over the weekend, when nearly 2″ of rain was recorded at WXLIVE!, the next 36 hours will be dominated by an upper…

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  • End of cold temps and a look ahead to Easter weekend

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    Freezing temps failed to materialize this morning across most of the Mid-South (not that we’re complaining!) thanks to a steady wind of about 10 mph and cloud cover that hung in most of the night. Lows were all pretty much in the mid 30s and no records were broken. The Weather Service maintains a Freeze…

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  • Winter-like weather returns briefly to the Mid-South

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    A strong late winter cold front, followed by high pressure of Canadian origin, is zeroing in on the Mid-South and will pass through the region this afternoon. A few showers and an isolated thunderstorm will occur along the front, though rain chances are pretty low for the Memphis area. Behind the front, wind will shift…

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  • Threat of severe weather diminishes

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    I’ve spent a fair amount of time talking about the potential for upcoming severe weather tonight and now there seems to be a fairly good consensus coming together… which is favorable for the metro. As seen in the above graphic, the greatest threat of severe weather, including tornadoes, appears to be focused to our south.…

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  • Severe weather potential tonight and more rain in the forecast

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    A potent cold front is moving into the region this evening, bringing with it a thunderstorm squall line which currently stretches through central AR, as evidenced by the radar image below taken at about 4:30pm. The Memphis metro area is under a SLIGHT RISK of severe weather for tonight (see outlook area at top) for…

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  • Possible severe weather this week and definitely wet

    Three separate systems look to be taking aim on portions of the Mid-South this week, providing for a very unsettled pattern that will be wet at a minimum (this week’s precip potential shown above) and possibly stormy. The first of these weather trouble-makers will arrive late Tuesday in the form of a cold front that…

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  • The vernal equinox (First day of spring!)

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    Today is the official first day of spring, or the vernal equinox. Welcome to Spring! Though “equinox” connotes an equal amount of day and night, that is not exactly so for Memphis at 35 degrees north latitude. The actual time of the equinox is 6:44am, when the sun passes directly over the Equator. Sunrise in…

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  • Weather roundup for this week

    It’s been a while since I’ve posted, so it’s probably a good idea to highlight the week’s weather events. Past few daysRainy, cloudy weather hung around throughout the weekend and early in the week. With the ground saturated, very little evaporation occurring due to the clouds, and warmer temperatures arriving, we ended up with dense…

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  • Winter weather discussion for Memphis

    Overview/Warnings Just got off a conference call with the National Weather Service in Memphis. The Winter Storm Watch will be changed to a Winter Weather Advisory for Shelby, Tipton, and Crittenden counties (including West Memphis, Memphis and suburbs, Covington, and Munford) and will be in effect from 4am-10pm Thursday. A Winter Weather Advisory will also…

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  • T’storms to be followed by COLD!

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    It’s hard to know how used to something you get until it is taken away. Trust me, you’ve gotten used to the 70-80 degree temperatures, and you’ll be finding out over the next few days just how used to it you are! A strong early spring cold front is approaching tonight, accompanied by a line…

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  • Wild weather week ahead

    A couple more spring days left before a touch of winter sets back in! We started off the day with a record high minimum temperature at Memphis International Airport (provided we don’t drop below 65 prior to midnight tonight).  67 degrees was the morning low; the previous record was 65 set in 1974.  Temperatures will…

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