Category: forecast


  • Spring-like weather to continue into next week

    The last couple of days have made last weekend’s snow storm seem like a distant memory. While the snow lasted for 3-4 days in many areas, temps recovered into the 70s by yesterday and overnight lows well above freezing put an end to any remnants of the snow cover. This 70-degree-plus spring-like weather pattern will…

    Read more


  • February wrap-up and March warm-up!

    ,

    We’re into March, which means the start of a new meteorological season! Spring is defined by meteorologists and climatologists as March-April-May, so there’s no use waiting until March 20 for the arrival of spring – if you ask me, it’s spring! (So let’s get rid of this snow already…) The February statistics have been compiled…

    Read more


  • Snowfall possibilities

    ,

    Now that the thunderstorm possibilities have diminished, we can turn our attention to more important matters – snow! (Side note: rain moves back in tonight with the chance of some thunder, but nothing like last night.) A low pressure system currently over the Upper Midwest/Northern Plains is moving southeast and bringing with it some very…

    Read more


  • Update on severe weather… and possible snow?

    The atmosphere, and the computer models, are still coming into line on a possible severe weather scenario for early Friday morning. This is an update to my post from yesterday. The Mid-South remains under a SLIGHT RISK of severe weather for late tonight and Friday morning. It appears the best chance for strong to severe…

    Read more


  • Chance of strong to severe storms Thursday night

    The scenario is setting up over the next 36 hours for a possible strong to severe weather episode over the Mid-South. Low pressure will be developing over the Plains along an approaching front. Southerly flow has already established itself over the region with moisture levels increasing, evidenced by rising dewpoints (about 20 degrees overnight last…

    Read more


  • Update on Saturday winter weather

    ,

    It’s going to be a beautiful late winter day across the Mid-South after a cold start to the morning. South wind will kick in and push those temps up into the 50s this afternoon under sunny skies. Try to take advantage of it because the weekend doesn’t look so great. I’ve written a couple of…

    Read more


  • First call on Saturday’s potential winter weather

    ,

    A few more models runs have passed and two of the primary runs – the morning NAM and GFS – are in good agreement for the next 48-60 hours. Both indicate precipitation holding off until Saturday morning after dawn and starting as rain with temps in the 40s and warm air aloft. The cold front…

    Read more


  • All eyes on Saturday

    ,

    It’s hard to discuss the possibility of winter weather a mere 60 hours out when it’s currently in the lower 70s, but we’re in Memphis and it’s February. Anything can happen! A cold front is passing through the region today, so the 70 degree weather will be a thing of the past in just a…

    Read more


  • Possible severe weather tonight

    After a cold start and a few reports of very light sleet around the area this morning (including at Memphis Int’l), temperatures have risen across the metro area as rain showers move through. I expect a break from this showery activity this afternoon before the main event begins tonight. As low pressure works it’s way…

    Read more


  • Latest severe weather threat for Memphis metro

    Not a whole lot has changed since my previous blog on the possibility of severe weather for the Mid-South on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. As we have moved 24 hours closer, a couple of things are a little more clear – timing and severe weather mode. More on those in a bit. The maps…

    Read more


  • 70s in February can only mean one thing…

    What a fantastic February day! Highs across the metro area hit 70 degrees this afternoon with much less wind than yesterday and filtered sunshine. I expected to see more low clouds today so I forecast a couple of degrees cooler than Saturday. Didn’t happen! We definitely saw our share of high level clouds, but that…

    Read more


  • Great weather day… if you don’t mind the breeze

    ,

    After a cold winter, we’ve been blessed with a beautiful early February weekend. Though only a little sun intermittently pokes through the clouds and the wind is blowing steady at 15-25 mph with gusts near 30, temperatures are amazingly nice. At mid-day, most locations around the metro area are in the middle 60s with highs…

    Read more


  • This week’s weather (post #200)

    First off, welcome to post #200 on The MWN Blog! I’m glad enough people look at this to make it worth my while to post 200 times in the +/-11 months. Thanks to all of you who follow this blog on a routine basis. I have discovered one thing – school closings are very important…

    Read more


  • Forecast update for Memphis metro – 4:00pm Monday

    ,

    No significant changes to my forecast this afternoon. I still expect rain to develop this evening with the possibility of a little light sleet mixed in for the first couple of hours, but then becoming all rain overnight. The only exceptions could be Tipton county and northern Crittenden county, AR, where the temperature could touch…

    Read more


  • Winter weather threats for this week

    ,

    Could be another busy week in the old weather office as Ol’ Man Winter makes another run at the Mid-South. Things have become a little more clear for Monday night, though the crystal ball is still a little fuzzy. Thankfully, Memphis is not positioned, say, in southeast Missouri or on the Ohio River where a…

    Read more


  • Special Weather Statement

    ,

    SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN330 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2009 …FREEZING RAIN EVENT IS POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40… LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE MID-SOUTH BEGINNING MONDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY…AND COMBINE WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE. PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN…

    Read more


  • A roller coaster week, and now it’s all downhill

    Remember back to Tuesday morning when snow was falling on many of you? It looked like a Midwestern winter day, only without existing snow cover on the ground – but it sure was pretty! Well, things change in a hurry, and two days later we were basking in the lower and mid 60s yesterday afternoon!…

    Read more


  • What a difference a day (or two) makes

    ,

    Yesterday morning’s snowfall reminds us just how hard it can be to forecast winter precipitation in this part of the country. While flurries were in the forecast, many areas of the metro region saw much more than flurries, with parts of eastern Shelby County getting up to 1/4-1/2″ of the white stuff in moderate to…

    Read more


  • Inauguration Day weather

    ,

    For those curious as to what the weather will be like in Washington D.C. tomorrow when you tune in for the Inaugural events, the NWS in Baltimore, which is responsible for D.C. as well, indicates a high temperature near freezing with a slight chance of snow (about 20%), mainly during the afternoon hours and amounting…

    Read more


  • An end in sight to this cold air

    From official records, Memphis Int’l Airport dropped below freezing on Wednesday night at 11pm and has been below freezing ever since – a streak of 44 consecutive hours so far. That string will end tomorrow morning, probably around 8-9am, getting us to about 57 consecutive hours of sub-freezing temps. At MWN’s WXLIVE! weather station in…

    Read more