Category: forecast discussion
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While there have been few complaints overall about the mild summer we have experienced, a heat wave will likely make us forget about the cooler temperatures as we head into the last week of August and Labor Day weekend. Below, a video forecast discussion covering the whats and whys of the heat wave, including how…
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What a pleasant reprieve we have had the past few days from typical August conditions! Actually, after a below average July temperature-wise, August is running nearly as much below average as July was. Through the first half of the month, the average temperature has been 1.8 degrees below normal at Memphis International. As we indicated…
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For well over a week, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, which issues medium range forecasts that go out up to 14 days, has been advertising a cool spell for mid August. I tried to imagine that as I sweat through my clothes Friday morning while mowing the yard in upper 70s dewpoints and 80% humidity! Turns…
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An uncommon mid-latitude weather system has made for cooler weather in the Mid-South to end the week. While these systems are no stranger to the area, they certainly aren’t as common in the middle of the summer. This system has brought northwest flow, or widespread northwest winds in the mid and upper levels, that help…
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If you were hoping for better rain chances this week, then you’re in luck! A weather pattern that emerges maybe a couple of times a summer will take hold this week, in the wake of an unusual upper-level pattern in mid-July that brought east-to-west moving storms. Until a couple of days ago, the Bermuda high…
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In the wake of a cool front that passed through the region yesterday, much driver and somewhat cooler air has infiltrated the Mid-South today and will continue tomorrow. This is resulting in highs in the upper 80s, dewpoints in the upper 50s to lower 60s, and a northeast breeze that makes it feel rather comfortable…
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There have been no complaints lately regarding the unseasonably cool weather for the start of July. Sure there have been some pesky isolated showers, but those are certainly worth the low 80s we’ve been experiencing! [You may recall that it was MUCH hotter last year. In fact, 6 of the first 7 days of July…
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Weather in the metro the past several days has been relatively uneventful with Bermuda High pressure dominating over our area bringing low to mid 90 temps and Gulf moisture into the region on southerly wind. The only fly in the ointment has been a few isolated afternoon thunderstorms that have popped up in the heat…
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Thursday, 5/30/13, 7:30am – UPDATED SPC GRAPHICS ORIGINAL POST FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING: More summer-like weather has visited the Mid-South over the past several days as temperatures have climbed well into the 80s daily, though humidity has still managed to stay in check. The humidity portion of the equation will change though as we head into…
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Spring severe weather season has been fairly quiet for much of the U.S. so far thanks in large part to an abnormally cool transition season. However, all that changed over the past week as Gulf moisture and warm air finally started moving north into the Plains. That warm-up and increase in humidity has been noticed…
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Quick post on the likelihood of storms tonight. A cold front will approach the region and generate an area of thunderstorms that will move out of central TX across southern AR/northern LA and into MS overnight. Meanwhile, additional showers and t’storms are likely further north ahead of the front as well. Amongst all of this…
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With Beale Street Music Festival over we can look back and reflect on the rain that inevitably occurred during the festivities. Although Music Fest is not always rainy, it certainly feels as if it is and this past weekend certainly did not help that image. In addition to plenty of rain, it was unseasonably cold.…
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It’s not unusual to see a rainy first weekend in May for Beale Street Music Fest as many who have been will attest to. However, the pattern we are in for this weekend is very rare. That pattern features a strong upper-level low pressure system moving directly over the Mid-South that will bring a chance…
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The Storm Prediction Center has placed the southern half of west TN, southeastern half of AR, and north MS in a Slight Risk this afternoon and evening, indicating an elevated threat of severe weather, including in the Memphis metro. The timing for potential severe weather will be from mid-afternoon through the evening hours. This threat…
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There are plenty of outdoor plans this weekend and, unfortunately, it looks like Mother Nature may get in the way of some of them. In fact, the Arlington in April and Southern Hot Wings Festival have both opted to move to their rain dates on Sunday. The Southaven Springfest at Snowden Grove will continue as…
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Yesterday, we discussed the possibility of severe weather on Thursday evening. Today, we update that post with the latest information and a little more detail. Below you see the latest convective outlook graphics from the Storm Prediction Center, as issued early this afternoon. The Mississippi Valley, from St. Louis to Greeneville, MS, including the Memphis metro,…
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One week after our last round of storms, which was expected to bring high round and isolated tornadoes, another squall line scenario is in the forecast for Thursday evening. Last week’s front moved through slowly, with thunder for several hours overnight Wednesday night and rain much of the day Thursday. This week’s front will be…
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Severe weather remains a concern Wednesday night for much of the area. Though models are getting very close to agreeing on the main concepts, fine scale details are still to be determined. Below is a probability map showing the chance of severe weather on Wednesday and Wednesday night, as issued by the Storm Prediction Center.…
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As we blogged on Saturday, the Mid-South is under the gun for severe weather conditions on Wednesday night. Multiple days of warm southerly wind and temperatures at or above 70 degrees (in fact, we could near 80 on Tuesday and Wednesday) will set the stage as a strong cold front pushes through the region late…
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While most Mid-Southerners are grateful for consecutive days in the 70s (especially on the weekend!), Mid-South meteorologists and weather weenies are keenly aware that a persistent southerly flow of moisture off the Gulf of Mexico and warm temperatures are harbingers of convective weather. And those same people, including yours truly, have been closely monitoring a…
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