Category: forecast discussion
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Hopefully everyone enjoyed today’s perfect spring weather because it won’t return until the weekend! Overview As of Monday afternoon, a dry cold front was pushing south through the metro turning the wind around from the north and allowing cooler air to work into the area. On Tuesday into Wednesday, an upper level low will move out…
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After a lengthy cold stretch that made some of us wonder if spring would ever arrive (recall the Winter Weather Advisories on the first day of spring last week?), a massive trough responsible for the cold air is finally lifting east. This is allowing for more of a progressive weather pattern to develop, which means…
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A quick update to yesterday’s blog on the potential for snow today… the second day of spring! The Winter Storm Watch has been replaced with a Winter Weather Advisory for the west TN counties in the metro (including Memphis and Shelby County) and Crittenden Co (as well as others) in northeast AR – see map…
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Naturally, since today is the first day of spring, we should be watching highways getting brined and meteorologists pouring over model data looking at precipitation timing and critical temperature thresholds right?? In the crazy world of weather, saying “it’s not going to happen” is a taunt to Mother Nature, who may decide to hit you…
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Warm spring days to end the week have given way to a frontal boundary that has draped itself across the Memphis metro today. While northern areas of the metro (Tipton County) are still sitting in the 40s at 2pm, north MS is nearing 70 degrees! 1pm temperatures across the metro as a stationary front lingers…
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A cold winter-like pattern has moved over the eastern U.S. and Mid-South this week as we head towards the first few days of March. And if you know Mid-South weather or have listened to MWN for any length of time, you know we don’t rule out winter weather, even some snow, around the first of…
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At mid-afternoon, the metro is dry with some places, especially over north MS, getting some sunshine this afternoon. Not quite the picture the forecast painted this morning! Despite the lack of expected rain today, showers and thunderstorms ARE still on track for tonight. As of 2pm, the Storm Prediction Center added a large part of…
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A progressive pattern is emerging over the Mid-South for at least the next week, promising multiple cold fronts and at least one potential chance for severe weather. Just in time for Severe Weather Awareness Week! As a huge trough shifts east and takes the cold weather of the past couple of days with it, southerly…
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A large trough is developing over the central U.S. as an upper level pattern shift takes place. Low pressure will move out of the Front Range tonight into the Northern Plains by Sunday evening, dragging a cold front into the Mid-South during the afternoon. Though dewpoints are only in the 30s this afternoon in a…
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Above average temperatures and an unsettled weather pattern will dominate the weather in the metro as we head towards the weekend and all the way into early next week. A series of low pressure systems will move by, accompanied by showers and thunderstorms. The first moves by to our south tonight with the best rain…
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We’ll have more detail later on as we continue to examine model data, but the first large-scale severe weather event of 2013 could unfold on Tuesday into Tuesday night from the ArkLaTex into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with the potential for severe storms as far north as central IL/IN. For the first time in over…
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Tonight at 8:30pm, we’ll have our first EVER Google+ Hangout video discussion of this week’s weather, including the possibility of severe weather on Tuesday night. You can access our Google+ page here to drop in and listen. A Google+ profile is required, but is easy to do if you have a GMail account. We’ll also…
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As discussed yesterday, we had two chances of light icing in the area – one was this morning (which didn’t materialize and had a very low probability anyway), and another is tonight. The prospects for ice in the metro tonight are also looking less likely, which is a good thing because the precipitation chances and…
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It’s been a quiet several days in our local weather pattern since last week’s double-blast of winter weather. While temperatures have been on a roller coaster the past week, precipitation has been held at bay. We have two chances of precip in the next 48 hours that are worth mentioning. With cold air around, the…
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What likely was just round 1 of “Winter Weather Week 2013″ brought a whopping 0.04” of freezing rain and sleet this afternoon (with some snow flurries at times), but delivered a TKO to many in the metro as bridges and overpasses iced up and exposed surfaces glazed over. Even as I write this, some 5…
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Rain has ended across the metro (FINALLY!) with rainfall totals near 3″ since midnight across Shelby County and higher amounts in other locations around the metro. Multiple Flash Flood Watches, Warnings, and Advisories were issued due to rising creeks and rivers and urban flooding on roadways and low-lying areas. Thankfully now that rain has moved…
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A welcome reprieve from wet weather is occurring this afternoon, which will continue into the evening hours. Only a low chance of a shower is in the forecast through about midnight. However, it will remain very warm and sticky. This morning’s rainfall was courtesy of a weak wave of low pressure moving along a very…
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What a gorgeous “spring-like” day today! After a couple of wet days, a mostly sunny, warm day is just what the doctor ordered as we head into a weekend that will easily be described as inclement, some night say a “split personality!” It will definitely be a tale of two airmasses as a potent cold…
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UPDATED 9:15pm: The slight risk area has been dropped from the Mid-South and bands of showers and a few thunderstorms are forming over northeast AR and west TN. Though brief heavy rain and wind gusts are likely with any showers, the severe weather risk appears to have not been able to materialize. As usual in the…
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Yesterday (January 6), the Memphis metro saw it’s first 50-degree day since Christmas Eve! Typically 52 degrees wouldn’t feel that warm, but in the context of 30s and 40s the past week and a half, it was rather pleasant! While today’s weather is much like yesterday, more “spring-like” weather is expected for the rest of…
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