Category: forecast discussion
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Another arctic air mass is already affecting the Mid-South with frigid conditions expected through Wednesday night. Gradual warming is expected each day, building to the 50’s expected Friday. I’m sure most of our followers know by now that quite the rare winter weather event is setting up for a good portion of the Gulf and…
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Hopefully the unseasonably warm weather today was well enjoyed because the weather looks to cool down quite quickly this week! Two shots of cold air are on the agenda with the second later week blast being more potent than the first. Temperatures are expected to be below average the entirety of the week with some…
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Temperatures this week will mimic some of the best roller coasters around as multiple cold fronts move through the area. Fortunately, the fronts will be moisture-starved, bringing little to no rain with them it appears. The fronts will be noticeable to Mid-Southerners however, marked by cold weather and gusty north wind behind them and warmer…
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It seems we can’t catch a break from wintry weather, and yet no good snowfall! Before we ended our 67-hour streak of below-freezing temperatures this morning at 10am, the National Weather Service had issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the metro, in effect tonight until noon Thursday. An upper-level disturbance will move across the area…
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Temperatures in the lower half of the 30s today will feel like spring warmth by early next week, following an Arctic cold front that moves through Sunday morning. And certainly don’t get used to the upper 40s expected Saturday! Rain chances increase Saturday night ahead of the front being shoved across the eastern U.S. by…
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We hope everyone had a great Christmas week, got to spend time with friends and family, and got everything they wanted from Santa! Besides cold conditions, not a bad weather week overall. We were pleased to be able to spend all of Christmas Day with family without once looking at a computer model or posting…
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As most people are aware by now, a risk of severe weather exists across area on Saturday. All one has to do is step outside and feel the humidity, gusty south wind, and warm temperatures, then check the calendar, to know things aren’t quite right in the atmosphere! First, what we expect, for those who…
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First things first: NO, I don’t know what a TORCON is or how it’s calculated. 4? 8? 2? I have no idea what’s better or worse or what I should do if my area is assigned a certain number. There’s been no peer-reviewed research that explains how it is derived and there certainly is nothing…
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A cold weather pattern that featured average daily temperatures more than 10 degrees below normal for the past 6 days will continue into Friday, fortunately warming up just enough that our next chance of precipitation will be of the liquid variety! A reinforcing shot of cool air is moving in tonight in the wake of…
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Today we’re experiencing near record low high temperatures under sunny skies with wind chills in the 20’s. It certainly doesn’t feel like the type of day prior to Thanksgiving, but daytime highs will be warming up significantly the next few days. Unfortunately nighttime lows will struggle to do the same. Let’s take a look at…
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UPDATED 9PM SUNDAY: Shortly before 9pm CST, the NWS in Memphis issued a Special Weather Statement for the metro, as well as all of northeast AR and west TN. Here is the content of that statement: …LIGHT WINTRY MIX EXPECTED LATE MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON… A DEVELOPING LATE FALL STORM IN THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER…
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The big story for today’s blog is the major change in the weather with Friday’s cold front. Prior to the cold front, expect above average temperatures leading up to a wet Friday. With the passage of the cold front, expect things to cool down quickly with temperatures becoming well below normal. These are the extremes…
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The southeastern U.S. is in the heart of it’s secondary severe weather season, but it appears the Midwest, Ohio Valley, and parts of the Great Lakes will have the greatest chance of severe storms on Sunday. However, that doesn’t mean we’re completely out of the woods in the Mid-South. Overall, my confidence in severe storms…
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The Mid-South has been quite chilly as of late with dry air, clear skies, and calm wind managing to drop temperatures into the 20’s the past couple of nights. That diurnal cold trend ends tonight with increasing moisture/clouds and southerly winds. This change in the weather is important leading up to Sunday because thunderstorms are…
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Our weekend blog discussed this week’s “big chill” – this is mainly an update and to remind you that, yes Virginia, weather cold enough for Santa Claus is still coming (though missing one key ingredient, a word I won’t mention lest the roads get salted). 🙂 At 10am Monday (map below), temperatures have plummeted across…
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As we approach mid-November, we’ve had a fair number of cold fronts that have dropped overnight lows near or below 40, some places in outlying areas (especially to the northeast of the metro) have touched freezing, and we’ve had some days with highs only in the 50s. However, the first official “winter is getting closer”…
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We enjoyed fairly mild temperatures today but the Mid-South will cool down with the passage of a cold front tomorrow night. Prior to the frontal passage tomorrow, temperatures will be mild (upper 60’s) with periods of rain. Visible satellite imagery valid at 2045z (2:45 PM CST). Visible satellite imagery shows vast cloudiness to our west…
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The forecast for tonight is looking decent, as long as you don’t mind a brief shower with your Kit Kat(TM) and sour gummy worms. The bulk of today’s rain will be moving out of the metro early this afternoon. I expect Memphis/Shelby County to be on the backside of the large rain shield that has…
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Seems there is a holiday or great importance tomorrow… everyone with children want to know if they will be able to trick or treat! This is our 3rd blog in 3 days on the Halloween storm system that seems to be bringing a bag of tricks with it. I’ll try and provide more specific impacts…
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A brief update on our Halloween forecast, as I know many of you have kids that are REEALLLY wanting to get some cavities trick-or-treat on Thursday. (Do you know how difficult it is to be a meteorologist with a crummy forecast on Halloween?? 🙂 ) Precipitation outlook Overall, the bulk of the day looks wet…
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