Category: forecast discussion
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It’s rare to talk about cold fronts in July as much as we have been this month. All these fronts, Canadian air intrusions, and upper-level lows have contributed to a month that is averaging over 5 degrees below normal and the third coolest July in Memphis recorded history through yesterday. Well, we have a couple…
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Besides perhaps pool owners who can’t seem to get their pools to warm up, there are very few complaints about the unusually cool July we’re experiencing in the Mid-South, particularly this past week. For perspective, we thought we’d break down some of those numbers for you. All data is for Memphis International Airport, the official…
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High pressure aloft and at the surface this weekend will mean hot temperatures with increasing humidity, leading to what could be the hottest day of the year so far on Sunday. With minimal rain chances and light wind, high temps will reach the mid 90s Saturday and Sunday, and perhaps Monday as well. Sunday has…
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A welcome break from soggy conditions that pushed the month of June up to the 8th wettest month on record resulted in a well-timed Canadian high pressure system bringing cool air into the region for the July 4th holiday. More like early fall than the typical “dog days” of summer, we received no complaints on…
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As several days of unsettled weather comes to an end this weekend and we head into the July 4th holiday week, high pressure aloft builds in. The only fly in the ointment will be a weak cool front around mid-week that, at best, lowers humidity values a bit and brings brief rain chances. One more…
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A weak cold front is moving through the region bringing an end to the rounds of showers and t’storms we have experienced for the past few days. Although an isolated shower is possible Wednesday, mostly dry conditions will allow temperatures to climb once again back to the 90 degree mark. By Wednesday night into Thursday,…
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As everyone knows, the first half of June featured a lot of rain in the Memphis metro. Perhaps this blog on the first lengthy summertime pattern is a welcome change! Although things look to warm up a bit, it is hardly unbearable (seasonal even) and the decrease in precipitation chances is certainly alright with me.…
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It’s been a wet couple of weeks in the Mid-South! The proverbial ark jokes had started, but seemed to be quelled a bit by the beauty in the skies Monday and Tuesday evenings as gorgeous rainbows graced the horizon and sunsets were spectacular both nights! Photo taken Monday night in Shelby Forest by photog Brian…
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Severe weather outlook and probabilities of various threats within 25 miles of a point for Monday and Monday night. Click image for larger version. The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued the following synopsis regarding the risk for severe weather in the Mid-South today and tonight. There is a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms…
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UPDATE – 11:00am Temps are soaring in the metro and are well into the mid 80s with dewpoints (measure of low-level moisture) in the mid 70s. With cloud cover just to our north holding temperatures back in the 70s, a gradient of atmospheric instability (CAPE) has developed right over the metro. Why is this important?…
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The first in possibly a series of mesoscale convective systems (MCS, or “macho thunderstorm complex”) will move through the Mid-South this afternoon. This system is currently in the Ozarks and moving east-southeast towards the region at 50-60 mph. Radar image at 10:20am. Green square icons in and behind the line are damaging wind reports. Yellow…
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An upper-level high pressure ridge over the southern plains extends eastward over the Mid-South and is suppressing thunderstorm activity, despite warm and humid conditions. However, this ridge will be pushed back to the west slightly the next few days, putting the Mid-South in a weak northwest flow situation. Northwest flow is when the winds at…
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Some of the best golfers in the world are in town this week and, as usual, Memphis will be serving up a helping of heat, humidity, and scattered thunderstorms with their slabs of ribs! The upper-level low that lingered over the region late last week and into the weekend and brought rounds of showers and…
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Time for another blog in the MWN Lightning Round series! First up… meteors! Camelopardalids shower could become a meteor storm I know your first question is “what in the heck is Camelopardalids?” It’s a brand new meteor shower – one that Earth has never experienced before, and it’s tonight! The Camelopardalids meteor shower is produced by…
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An unusually cool few days culminated in a record low this morning and it appears the unseasonably cool weather will stick with us through the weekend before our first good spell of summer weather arrives next week. Unfortunately, cool weather also means unsettled weather and a few rain chances for Memphis in May BBQ Fest.…
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We’ve gotten a taste of early summer this past weekend with increased humidity, daytime temps in the 80s, and warm overnight lows. That all changes though as a cold front moves towards the region. A look at surface temperatures this morning shows a clear boundary through the central US separating the warm and muggy conditions…
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With the first round of rain gone, all eyes turn west for the next chance of precipitation, which arrives overnight tonight. Though a stray shower is possible this afternoon, last night’s activity has stabilized the muggy atmosphere for the time being. By this evening, scattered storms are expected to form across AR and southeast MO…
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We’ve had a fairly extended period of dry weather following deluges and severe storms early last week. A few cool days were quickly pushed aside by warm high pressure with highs in the mid 80s for several days now, despite pleasant humidity levels that made mornings and evenings comfortable. As we head towards the weekend,…
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A multi-day severe weather event remains on track and appears likely at this time. If you read the blog yesterday and follow us on social media, you are aware that the Mid-South and Lower Mississippi Valley are facing what could be the most significant severe weather event(s) since spring 2011. (NOTE that I am not…
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A couple of hours of rain and storms and very few warnings were all that came of last night’s severe weather risk and Thunderstorm Watch, but at least everything outdoors got a good pollen-washing! All attention now turns to what may be a significant multi-day severe weather outbreak that begins in the Plains tomorrow, but…
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