Category: forecast discussion
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Monday recap The President’s Day winter storm (#Snobama) officially broke the 1,167-day “snowless” streak,* forcing us to reset the MWN Snow Counter. However, we take partial issue with doing so, which led us to the creation of Official AND Unofficial Counters: * Per NWS official definition for climate record keeping purposes, “snow” is defined such…
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I recorded a video update on the winter storm expected across the Mid-South tonight and tomorrow. This information is valid as of 2:30pm Sunday. Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for the entire Mid-South from 6pm tonight to 6pm Monday. Main period of precipitation will be 3am-3pm Monday with the heaviest between 6am-noon. Here are…
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It’s Valentine’s Day morning, the sun is shining, it’s in the 50s, and I’m typing a blog on the upcoming winter storm. To my wife: I love you and thank you for your patience and understanding! (She’s awesome y’all…) Now on to what you came here for! Watches/Advisories The NWS has issued a Winter Storm…
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First things first, enjoy tomorrow! It should turn out to be a very pleasant late winter day with highs in the 50s – and the last time we see temps anywhere close to that for nearly a week. By late Saturday afternoon, the next in a series of Arctic cold fronts arrives. Wind turns northwesterly…
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An uncertain weather pattern lies ahead, made more difficult by continuous shifts in the mid to long-range model data. The time period of concern is Sunday night through Tuesday evening. Short-term forecast We’ll start with the short-term though. Arctic high pressure has, once again, seeped into the region. If you walked outside this afternoon, you…
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That’s pretty much how we feel after yet another potential snow-maker cruised on through the Mid-South, leaving pretty much nothing in it’s wake. In fact, I’m pretty sure we have a new cloud type: stratus disappointus, winter clouds that threaten to drop snow but depart with nary a trace. What’s left behind is an Arctic…
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January concluded with temperatures that were very near “normal” as the first half of the month was generally cold and the second half of the month warm. February started with a warm (albeit wet) day yesterday but a MUCH colder day today. It appears the temperature roller coaster will continue all week with seasonal days…
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Will keep this brief, as it’s getting late, but after earlier today backing off the potential for snow during the day on Friday and calling for just a chance of a rain/snow mix as precip ends Friday evening, models (and the atmosphere) are again leaning a bit more towards a potentially cooler solution for the…
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Despite the Mid-South being just past the coldest period of the year according to climate records, our current stretch of 55°+ days, which stands at 6 and includes a few mid 60s, is the longest such streak since Nov. 19-24. That is about to end though, as a cold dome of high pressure over the…
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We’ve had our share of cold weather to start 2015 with an average temperature for the first half of the month that is over 6 degrees below normal! That will make the next 5 days or so even more enjoyable as warmer air overtakes the region producing multiple days with highs in the 50s and…
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Miss the Zippin’ Pippin? Well a roller coaster of another sort will be visiting Memphis over the next day or two, one featuring some wild swings in temperatures as a strong storm system approaches the area. Unfortunately, it also will be bringing us high chances of rain and even some thunder that will dampen any…
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Happy New Year! Unfortunately, we will start 2015 in a wet and cool fashion. A hint of possible sleet has put us meteorologists in front of the computer models and checking out current atmospheric conditions early! I’ll mainly focus on the upcoming 8 hours, as that is when the threat of any wintry precipitation…
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Wrapping up 2014 with a brief look at temps and precip for the past year, the discussing COLD conditions for your New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day as well as an overrunning precipitation event on Thursday night that could mean a chance of wintry weather for a short period. Bottom line Very cold conditions…
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We hope that everyone had a great Christmas and are thankful that rain held off to make for very pleasant weather for the holiday! Rain has moved in today though as a cold front approaches and moisture surges in from the Gulf. The front will pass through early this evening and bring temps down from…
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Everybody and his cousin (who lives in the Memphis area) are inquiring minds and want to know: “Are we going to get a White Christmas??” I’ll answer that 2 ways. First, read this excellent blog post MWN intern Kevin put together a couple of days ago. Historically speaking, it’s highly unlikely. But that’s not the…
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Yesterday was a great December day with temps in the mid 60s and lots of sunshine. Despite off and on rain, it’s also a mild day today as the rain out-raced the cold front, so warm Gulf air continues to flow into the region as the cold front lingers to our west. The front will…
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It was a rather pleasant early December day in the Mid-South, but don’t get too comfortable as changes come quickly. It’s the time of year that variations in the weather pattern can come frequently and we have a classic pattern setting up that favors quick swings in temperature as the atmosphere tries to figure out…
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Rain is moving into the metro this morning as the first of a couple impulses moves through the area and a warm front continues lifting north. Temperatures are already climbing towards the mid 60s ahead of the rain with dewpoints rising above 60, which means a very humid airmass for early December. I’ll use simulated…
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I cut a video forecast discussion this afternoon to talk about a big push of Arctic air into the region on Monday, chances of any freezing precipitation behind it, and an early look at St. Jude Marathon and Christmas parade weather next Saturday. Watch below for full details (about 11 minutes long), or skip ahead…
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A mild weekend, and soggy Sunday, is in the books with a cold front arriving overnight to bring an end to 60+ degree temps for the time being. Besides cooler temperatures tomorrow, we’ll also have a lot of wind with this system. Gusts increase to 30+ mph overnight and at least the first half of…
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