Category: forecast discussion
-
UPDATE, 6:30am Monday, May 11 – Afternoon t’storms described below now look very unlikely as morning storms and rain serve to stabilize the atmosphere prior to the cold front’s arrival. A few storms early this morning may be strong with wind gusts to 40-50 mph and lightning the greatest threats. Overview/Setup A couple of weeks…
Read more
-
Mid-South weather over the past 10 days has been dry with moderate temperatures that have now become quite warm as highs have reached the mid 80s. Humidity levels have also been very low but are now starting to rise as southerly wind has kicked in thanks to high pressure anchored to our east. The ground…
Read more
-
We’ve experienced a cool, breezy day today with high cloudiness covering the region. The clouds and breeze can be traced to the atmosphere battling between high pressure to our north over the Plains and Midwest and low pressure to our south from old Mexico into the Gulf Coast region. Despite the last few days of…
Read more
-
As we head towards a busy late April weekend with plenty of outdoor activities to choose from, weather may play a role in the outcome of some of them. I’ll cover the expectations and potential hazards for the next few days as another developing Plains low moves east through the Mid-Mississippi Valley. Friday The low…
Read more
-
With one weather-maker in the form of low pressure and a trough having departed this morning, we now focus our eyes to the west where our next chance of rain will arrive from later today. Temperatures should easily make it to the mid 70’s with help from peaks of sunshine. That energy will help fuel…
Read more
-
Yesterday’s blog post contained an initial look at the weekend weather pattern. Feel free to check that out for the overall pattern. Today we fine tune and give you some information you can plan your weekend activities around! As morning rain and thunderstorms diminish this afternoon, we should be looking at a dry evening and…
Read more
-
A nice day overall today as weak high pressure built in behind scattered thunderstorms last evening! Highs have reached 80 at most locations with a partly cloudy to mostly sunny sky. However, the large upper level system that we talked about early this week that would keep things unsettled this week still lingers to our…
Read more
-
What a glorious spring weekend we just experienced in the metro! A good deal of sun, cool mornings, warm afternoons… oh yeah, and lots of pollen (bless you!). The pollen won’t have much time to build up this week as the overall weather pattern looks very unsettled with multiple opportunities for rain and some thunder.…
Read more
-
As temperatures climb into the lower and mid 80s this afternoon, southerly wind continues to push moist, unstable Gulf air across the area. This pattern will continue right through tomorrow, priming the pump ahead of a strong spring cold front that is expected Thursday evening. Dry weather is expected through the overnight hours tonight before…
Read more
-
Many of you were able to get out and enjoy a cooler Easter weekend despite cloudy skies and sprinkles on Sunday, but those waiting for the next period of warm temperatures and thunderstorms, you’re wish is soon to be granted! Indeed, spring weather is quickly returning to the Mid-South and this may include a chance…
Read more
-
Snow and 40+ degrees?? Wasn’t yesterday’s snow weird?? I drove through a pretty steady graupel shower around 2:45 yesterday afternoon in Bartlett with temps in the low 40s. Some of you reported sleet or snow shaped like “round balls” yesterday – that was graupel, or “dippin dots” as we are known to call it. The…
Read more
-
I’m reminded of an elementary school song (that has always annoyed me as a parent) that goes like this: “This is the song that never ends, yes it goes on and on my friends…”, etc. The worst part is that the lyrics are such that it repeats ad nauseum. Despite some recent bouts of spring…
Read more
-
9:45am Tuesday – SPC graphics updated for enhanced severe weather risk to our west. Signs of spring have taken hold in the Mid-South, such as blooming dogwoods and daffodils and the smell of fresh mulch. It has been an unusually quiet severe weather season nationwide featuring no severe weather watches or tornadoes so far this…
Read more
-
Now that we’ve successfully navigated through three weeks of winter weather, but perhaps not the potholes left behind (info on potholes from TDOT), it’s time to turn our attention to spring! Spring weather means two things in the Mid-South: warmer temperatures and chances of thunderstorms. Gulf low brings unsettled weather This morning, low pressure is…
Read more
-
15 minute video blog embedded below with details on the Wednesday night winter storm as we see them as of 7pm Tuesday night. Details continue to come together, though some model solutions still seem to be a little questionable. Despite that, impacts are expected to be significant Wednesday night and Thursday. The main change from…
Read more
-
15 minute video blog embedded below with details as we see them as of 9pm Monday night. TIMING, PRECIPITATION TYPES, AND AMOUNTS SUBJECT TO CHANGE. The general pattern seems to be coming together though. And for those that want the bottom line, first a graphic from the NWS and then our call on this storm…
Read more
-
Welcome to the first day of meteorological spring! We in the weather business compile seasonal weather and climate stats according to “meteorological seasons.” March-May is considered “spring.” Unfortunately, the first week of March looks more like a continuation of winter (with a one day exception) than spring. Fe”brrrr”-ary recap First, a brief recap of the…
Read more
-
UPDATE – 9:00pm Tuesday The event looks to be pretty much on track, so please see the post below from this afternoon for details left out here. The models have come into decent agreement with the “outliers” a little more in line. Confidence is increasing in the forecast made below, which includes about an inch…
Read more
-
Wow, what a week! It’s like winter showed up as soon as the rodent popped his head up out of his hole on February 2! Somebody whack that guy! It’s been a cold winter, but we’ve been dry. That changed this week with multiple icy systems that nearly provided most students in the area with…
Read more
-
Here’s our evening update on the winter weather expected on Friday via video blog (14 min). Watch for full details or see below for the bottom line. Total precipitation in west TN could exceed 2″ for the weekend. NAM model shown above. Graphic courtesy WxBell. Bottom line Scattered light sleet/snow showers Friday morning become primarily…
Read more
