Category: forecast discussion
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Spring has sprung across the Mid-South! Temperatures have warmed considerably from a month ago and meteorologists have shifted the mindset from looking for snow in the extended forecast to watching for severe weather chances. A recent spell of highs in the 70s has been the lengthiest such streak in four months, welcome news for those…
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Many of us are suffering “weather whiplash” as spring seems to have arrived quickly once the snow melted! After setting multiple cold and snow records during a bitter spell in the middle of the month (average temperature of 19.8 degrees between February 11-19), much of Memphis saw the 70 degree mark on Tuesday and approached…
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The #StupidCold Arctic Outbreak of 2021 continues to set records locally, while Mid-Southerners wearily look ahead to one more winter storm that hopefully brings closure to the 2020-2021 winter season. Let’s dive in. Record-breaking cold Over the past few days, Memphis has broken the following temperature and precipitation records: Coldest high temperature: February 14 (19°)…
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Winter storm #1 brought a thick glaze of freezing rain to the metro last Wednesday night and also ushered in the first round of sub-freezing air. The prelude to storm #2 arrived yesterday as light snow throughout the day, coated over by a layer of sleet last night. This morning, heavy sleet changed to heavy…
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I did a Facebook Live detailing what to expect over the next 24-36 hours, and peeked at the rest of the week. Here’s the 15 minutes video: Here is the latest forecast snowfall totals from NWS-Memphis: And a few of the graphics from the presentation below. Please stay WARM and stay SAFE! Erik Proseus MWN…
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For all of you who have been begging for winter – whether you wanted really cold temperatures, ice (why would you want that?), or a “real snow” – I hope a week from now you’re satisfied. Winter has arrived and will be locked in for a good week. Before I get into our President’s Day…
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[ UPDATE 6:45pm: While temperatures dropped a bit more quickly than expected late this afternoon and now sit below freezing across all of Shelby County, this does not change the earlier forecast for precipitation amounts or impacts. Most, if not all, precipitation was going to fall once temperatures fell below freezing anyway. ] Current Warnings…
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I’ve purposefully not put together a blog on this coming week’s weather pattern until now, because sometimes there’s just too much guesswork to forecast with much confidence. But as we prepare for the week ahead, it’s time to at least address the knowns and unknowns, and perhaps describe why this forecast appears to be so…
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It’s hard to believe that less than 48 hours after severe thunderstorms rumbled through the Memphis metro, bringing large hail and strong wind, we’ll likely see snowflakes falling in the metro! Between those events, today turned out to be nearly ideal with highs near 60 and plenty of sunshine. In fact, it was perfect weather…
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On the climate calendar mid-January is the coldest time of year, but as we move forward, average temperatures start to creep up as day length gradually increases. High temperatures average near 50 degrees with lows generally near freezing. This week will see above normal temperatures most days, accompanied by multiple rain chances as a couple…
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Following a very cold Christmas Eve and Christmas Day (the coldest Christmas in Memphis in 20 years actually!), the weekend has proven to be just delightful. After topping out just above freezing Friday, we saw 20 degrees of warming Saturday, into the mid 50s, and another 10 degrees of warming today as the mercury reached…
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Quick outlook Pleasant weather for the first half of the week, rain chances Wednesday, then clear and cold for Christmas. First half of the week As winter officially arrives (Monday morning at 4:02am), Monday thru Wednesday will be nice with a return of southerly winds which will bring highs near 60. Skies will be clear…
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Warm & sunny feels good! Warmer than normal temperatures continue for the Mid-South, thanks to a ridge of high pressure that is to our east. This means we’ll continue to see warm southerly winds today and Friday that will lead to above normal temperatures. Highs will peak just above 70 today, with clouds moving in…
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With our first “winter weather event” (cold rain Sunday and flurries Monday) behind us, but cold air still in place, it’s time to look ahead to the next weather maker that will move into the region. We’ll dissect the chances that additional winter weather might occur in today’s blog. Upper level features An upper-air trough…
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With Thanksgiving in the rearview mirror, the 2020 calendar is about to flip one more page to December… and it can’t come soon enough! However, if the weather for the month ahead is anything like the first week of December promises to be, I might have to reconsider. Weekend weather (enjoy today!) Today might be…
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Gorgeous fall weather has been with us much of this week as temperatures have been above average for a few days with dry conditions since Sunday morning’s frontal system and brief downpours. As we look towards Thanksgiving and the remaining days of November, can we expect the unseasonably warm weather to continue? And what about…
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Weekend weather Above normal temperatures will continue over the weekend with highs in the mid to upper 70’s, which is roughly 10 degrees above normal. Lows will be in the low 60’s, which is about 15 degrees above normal. The reason behind all these warm temperatures is the ridge of high pressure that is to…
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A couple of fall cold fronts later, and the remnants of Delta that moved through about a week ago are ancient history, as high temperatures today barely reach the threshold where dewpoints stood last weekend! (That means moisture levels last weekend were higher than temperatures are today.) Portions of the Mid-South are now under a…
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The latest of Hurricane Delta As of mid afternoon, Hurricane Delta is closing in on the Louisiana coastline and is expected to make landfall near Cameron, Louisiana early this evening. Hurricane-force winds, life-threatening storm surge and flash flooding is expected along southern Louisiana this afternoon and evening. Delta will move northeast into northeastern Louisiana overnight…
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Over the last week we saw pleasant temperatures followed by rain from the remnants of tropical storm Beta. Last weekend was very nice with temperatures overnight being cool, and daytime highs reaching right around 80. The middle part of the week we saw rain from the remnants of Beta, totaling to just over 3/4 of…
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